NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb424222083a52ab8ef0dcbed6b0929feaabcf03d375b2d65b52fcb9662cf9cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Nuggets | 69c | 22,256$15,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.03 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 29c | 21,973$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Nuggets | 56c | 16,513$9,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265.72 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 31c | 13,858$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,519.51 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 43c | 10,733$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.7 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1e…2f01backed Kings | 53c | 10,573$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…a976backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,408$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…3cffbacked Nuggets | 51c | 10,004$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…6471backed Kings | 49c | 10,002$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…af51backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,001$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nuggets | 52c | 9,976$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.85 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…5e09backed Kings | 48c | 9,804$4,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Nuggets | 73c | 7,372$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Kings | 51c | 7,005$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.81 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 74c | 7,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Kings | 76c | 6,706$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.4 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings | 51c | 6,687$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.23 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Nuggets | 73c | 6,521$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Kings | 22c | 6,500$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 54c | 5,652$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.38 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…93c8backed Kings | 53c | 5,175$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,894$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 35c | 4,718$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Kings | 75c | 4,608$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,523$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.72 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,520$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.2 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings | 50c | 3,889$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.39 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…b62ebacked Nuggets | 28c | 3,500$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Kings | 45c | 3,411$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.48 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,030$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.75 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 2,871$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.8 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Nuggets | 37c | 2,722$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Kings | 22c | 2,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nuggets | 38c | 2,487$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.71 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Nuggets | 41c | 2,440$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.63 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 79c | 2,400$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,300$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,198$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 2,183$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 33c | 2,127$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.93 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Nuggets | 80c | 2,121$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Nuggets | 19c | 2,050$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.3 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 37c | 1,915$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Kings | 52c | 1,852$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.88 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 50c | 1,739$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.44 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Nuggets | 62c | 1,737$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,706$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.89 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kings | 21c | 1,599$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.54 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Kings | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,368$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,300$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…8585backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…6feebacked Kings | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,191$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Kings | 53c | 1,186$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Kings | 13c | 1,165$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 42c | 1,126$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Kings | 40c | 1,126$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.9 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,084$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Kings | 21c | 1,050$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Kings | 55c | 1,044$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.94 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…05f6backed Kings | 51c | 1,030$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be3…abcdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,024$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.21 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…ec22backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 33c | 985.38$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Kings | 46c | 960.3$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Nuggets | 47c | 943.17$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.82 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 27c | 862.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.46 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 855.27$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Nuggets | 46c | 850.48$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.93 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Nuggets | 40c | 850$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Nuggets | 51c | 811.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets | 31c | 770.65$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Nuggets | 46c | 761.97$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.88 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 50c | 749.83$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…3a4cbacked Kings | 24c | 746.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Kings | 52c | 743.57$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Nuggets | 55c | 734.35$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 51c | 731.7$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.46 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Nuggets | 35c | 700$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Nuggets | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 2c | 683.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings | 51c | 659.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Nuggets | 46c | 629.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Nuggets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Kings | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Nuggets | 78c | 589.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Kings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Nuggets | 6c | 573.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 564.31$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings | 51c | 559.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Nuggets | 37c | 541.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.51 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…e00fbacked Kings | 53c | 537.39$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 32c | 533.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 49c | 505$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.