NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0883150729211b0b08c47799fe2c5050eb05d5dde7a46028e651604eb090672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Mavericks, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Thunder | 74c | 33,768$24,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.29 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Thunder | 63c | 27,033$17,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Mavericks | 7c | 26,805$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.7 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mavericks | 2c | 13,569$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…fd77backed Mavericks | 9c | 11,628$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…afd7backed Mavericks | 38c | 10,014$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,805.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…940abacked Mavericks | 38c | 10,004$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…4c3cbacked Thunder | 62c | 10,003$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Mavericks | 38c | 10,001$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…88febacked Thunder | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed Thunder | 62c | 9,998$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,459$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 18c | 9,224$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Mavericks | 18c | 8,629$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.84 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks | 39c | 8,613$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.2 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks | 4c | 8,188$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.31 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6f…062cbacked Thunder | 62c | 6,477$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Thunder | 63c | 6,178$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.96 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 37c | 5,912$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.84 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 39c | 5,036$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.83 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Mavericks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Thunder | 62c | 4,276$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.97 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Mavericks | 37c | 4,112$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 1c | 4,090$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,022$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.71 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 20c | 4,021$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 42c | 3,982$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 37c | 3,870$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.61 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Mavericks | 39c | 3,488$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,399$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…46e2backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,068$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Mavericks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,693$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,583$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mavericks | 37c | 2,348$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.5 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,196$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Thunder | 68c | 2,024$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.67 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 61c | 1,790$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.27 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,667$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Thunder | 63c | 1,566$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.08 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,512$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.03 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Thunder | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Thunder | 70c | 1,486$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,404$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,403$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.77 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…2b21backed Thunder | 61c | 1,388$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Thunder | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…569cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,281$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…3416backed Thunder | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Mavericks | 30c | 1,220$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks | 31c | 1,218$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.81 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Mavericks | 35c | 1,215$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Thunder | 74c | 1,196$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…c239backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,165$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,100$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.99 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mavericks | 22c | 1,090$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…4157backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Thunder | 79c | 1,047$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Thunder | 61c | 1,030$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.47 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Thunder | 62c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.81 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Mavericks | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Mavericks | 37c | 999.98$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Thunder | 67c | 988.29$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Thunder | 68c | 950$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Thunder | 64c | 939.69$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Mavericks | 37c | 914.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Thunder | 61c | 899.98$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…9a47backed Mavericks | 5c | 892.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 36c | 827.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Thunder | 62c | 800.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Thunder | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…1090backed Mavericks | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Mavericks | 36c | 798.21$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Thunder | 64c | 785.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Mavericks | 38c | 782.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mavericks | 10c | 778.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Thunder | 60c | 770.97$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 1c | 759$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Mavericks | 39c | 730.77$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Thunder | 70c | 714.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Mavericks | 39c | 711.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Thunder | 62c | 711.77$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Mavericks | 42c | 711.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 35c | 695.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 15c | 655.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks | 32c | 650.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Thunder | 63c | 618.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.87 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks | 33c | 602.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Thunder | 62c | 600.59$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Mavericks | 25c | 599.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…0c27backed Mavericks | 7c | 596.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…33a8backed Thunder | 62c | 588.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…549fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 587.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Thunder | 67c | 584.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…d2d0backed Thunder | 62c | 571.25$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…38ecbacked Mavericks | 41c | 569.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.