TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Canadiens, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,962,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,961,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,962,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 992 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Hurricanes71c650,002$461,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188,500.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens30c350,000$104,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,499.937545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens29c300,000$87,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,999.9716442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Canadiens29c250,001$72,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,500.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes70c211,227$148,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,979.3620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Canadiens6c180,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,900.481816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes70c133,068$92,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,542.3228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes69c119,292$82,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,980.5667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Hurricanes71c66,906$47,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,481.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Canadiens0c36,887$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.832920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens30c33,300$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99048549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127c…7456backed Hurricanes70c29,657$20,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,897.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Canadiens30c28,500$8,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,408.983450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Hurricanes70c27,447$19,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,234.154551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Canadiens29c26,278$7,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,706.922433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64af…a29fbacked Canadiens20c24,219$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Canadiens30c21,500$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.955841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Canadiens29c17,200$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,988666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Canadiens31c15,342$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,756.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663c…47c7backed Canadiens4c14,464$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Hurricanes70c12,951$9,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Canadiens30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens31c11,776$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.6833151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed Hurricanes70c11,556$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes68c11,339$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.351,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens30c10,916$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.6627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens26c10,725$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens30c10,500$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens0c10,453$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Canadiens1c10,250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Canadiens30c10,080$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.893240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…8f12backed Canadiens0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens4c10,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens30c9,000$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.981,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Canadiens30c8,280$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4841127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Canadiens1c7,761$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.645435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Hurricanes70c7,216$5,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.793174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens31c7,068$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.8859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Canadiens4c6,892$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Canadiens1c6,751$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens30c6,666$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.85147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Canadiens31c6,214$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Canadiens1c6,120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc1…692ebacked Canadiens5c6,023$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Hurricanes70c5,800$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.991258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Canadiens9c5,413$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+116.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Canadiens30c5,400$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.981442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed Canadiens30c5,126$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Canadiens30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedaa…a40fbacked Canadiens0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Canadiens31c4,862$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.2210146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Canadiens31c4,320$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.218853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens31c4,320$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.218452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Canadiens31c4,320$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed Canadiens30c4,320$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens30c4,225$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.2683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e89…89cebacked Hurricanes80c4,142$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Canadiens30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9627850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9143548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…2b5dbacked Canadiens1c3,966$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf67…7784backed Hurricanes70c3,904$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.343455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens30c3,901$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.2560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens30c3,801$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.249751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Canadiens31c3,787$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens29c3,716$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.597038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed Canadiens30c3,600$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Canadiens1c3,431$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.172425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Canadiens18c3,232$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6913251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Canadiens31c3,201$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Canadiens32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Canadiens30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hurricanes71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens4c3,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.976841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes78c2,987$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens1c2,926$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0adc…e500backed Canadiens2c2,863$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Canadiens39c2,825$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.0441354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Canadiens30c2,740$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.092842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Hurricanes65c2,571$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.779948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Canadiens30c2,542$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1611952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens22c2,438$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53355446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Canadiens2c2,434$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0314542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Canadiens31c2,322$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.823935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9103…0fa3backed Canadiens11c2,204$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Canadiens32c2,184$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.7910251%52 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9181…f75dbacked Canadiens30c2,160$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9e6cbacked Hurricanes70c2,098$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Canadiens1c2,073$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes70c2,057$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.11,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…ca73backed Hurricanes70c2,039$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.66977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Hurricanes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Canadiens30c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Canadiens19c1,933$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Canadiens31c1,884$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens28c1,832$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7814946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…be5dbacked Canadiens1c1,825$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0846…a401backed Canadiens9c1,764$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.