TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.974358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over51c19,833$10,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,748.453847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Under49c12,181$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c10,553$5,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,163.9541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under48c10,200$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.91,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under52c9,671$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c8,888$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.1251045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c6,818$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.5511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c5,242$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.4628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Over69c5,111$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c2,075$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.2952050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under49c2,025$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1761959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c1,055$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.5210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c1,001$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under35c921.14$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8822250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under61c862.21$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.139948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c824.52$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under49c803.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.883857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c778.25$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.235644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over58c750$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3345069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c710$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c641.19$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.776847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over67c630.08$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under65c613.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c600.02$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c555$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Under50c507.61$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.812045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over63c497.04$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c463.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.152,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Over74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over44c443.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.391,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under22c434.39$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0523950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over52c427.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.43450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under52c414.19$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under26c366$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under43c348.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Under49c317.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over49c314.38$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.336841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c282.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.549258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5148552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under59c271.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.288053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under48c270.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.978648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over68c270.41$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over77c260.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.233868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over52c242.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.319547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under40c224.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6610851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c223.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1918453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under49c211$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6123754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Under37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over51c199.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over65c196.36$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over73c190.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under26c184.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c180.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under13c176.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5451343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under25c168.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4314347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c155.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.224542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under40c151$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c147.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under34c144.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under50c142.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x323b…28f3backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa182…8ac2backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…a996backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007a…20ebbacked Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c5…32c5backed Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…b355backed Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…ae28backed Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…6ba6backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under44c135.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.918837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under27c129.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.934547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72c…993dbacked Under50c119.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4b…7827backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under33c116.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over74c116$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.165240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced6…2dc1backed Under49c113$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under63c112.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1614549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Over52c110.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.064131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9118…4db8backed Over51c108.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f0…c7d3backed Under20c100.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over35c98.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.293339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over78c98.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under50c96.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.352646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over44c91.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.