TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$582,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes49c288,742$142,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,966.3920354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Canadiens51c202,041$102,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,040.9112146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Canadiens51c120,000$61,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,499.924358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Hurricanes49c62,051$30,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,844.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes48c53,180$25,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,635.1828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Canadiens51c41,850$21,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,163.087737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes47c32,091$15,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,008.4667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Canadiens51c17,763$9,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,059.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Hurricanes49c17,347$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,846.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Hurricanes49c17,271$8,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,808.2921850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Canadiens51c11,679$5,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,956.231947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x205c…9192backed Canadiens52c11,517$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Canadiens51c11,300$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,767.9111952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Hurricanes48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.673253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens51c10,221$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,214.912950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens52c9,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Hurricanes48c8,609$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.684542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens51c7,500$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80033554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1806841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Canadiens51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0604161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Canadiens51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Canadiens52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.964264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Canadiens52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes53c4,171$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.8758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Canadiens52c3,866$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens52c3,801$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.4843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens52c3,800$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.989751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens52c3,800$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.9760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Hurricanes48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6641450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Canadiens52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Canadiens52c2,968$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.045149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Hurricanes49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Canadiens23c2,816$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.8926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes48c2,722$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.329157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Canadiens52c2,440$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.2817761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7616…dd8cbacked Hurricanes48c2,090$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Hurricanes48c2,074$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.982263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Hurricanes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Canadiens53c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Hurricanes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0205954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens53c2,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens52c1,876$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.6276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Canadiens53c1,557$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8258253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Canadiens51c1,503$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Canadiens53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Hurricanes48c1,131$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1611648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens52c1,120$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.4183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Hurricanes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9945749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Canadiens52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Canadiens53c944$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.321450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Canadiens52c900$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Canadiens48c841.85$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.95644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Canadiens52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Canadiens53c735.85$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canadiens51c725.26$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Hurricanes49c669.87$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6312859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes48c609.5$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.947533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Hurricanes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Canadiens51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Hurricanes49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Hurricanes48c517.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.162360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Canadiens51c491.63$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.736847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Canadiens50c487.76$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed Canadiens52c479.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20c…32c5backed Canadiens12c421.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…f3c9backed Canadiens4c404.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Canadiens51c392.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed Hurricanes48c340.5$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Hurricanes49c305.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Canadiens53c301.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.822147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Canadiens52c235.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf158…5eeabacked Hurricanes48c229.77$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Hurricanes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick50cpaid+69.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Canadiens51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10262447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Canadiens53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.369755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Hurricanes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Canadiens53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1528652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Hurricanes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Hurricanes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Canadiens54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Canadiens51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd4…cd8fbacked Canadiens5c192.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Hurricanes48c180.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Canadiens52c174.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.693857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe067…ec36backed Canadiens53c164.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.271250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…8a65backed Hurricanes48c162.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.731566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Hurricanes63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Canadiens53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Canadiens53c151.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2524949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Hurricanes49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…29a1backed Hurricanes48c149.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Hurricanes48c148.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.093652.8%19 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes57c146.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e2…e7b8backed Canadiens52c133.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Canadiens52c129.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.