TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c18,319$6,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,35841842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under62c9,288$5,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,758.2511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Under62c5,500$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4101258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Under62c3,950$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4493158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Over38c3,934$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over53c1,518$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.5662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under47c1,246$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7635829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under57c1,225$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under62c1,118$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.373857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over44c1,066$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.412147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c998.87$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.3228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Under49c826.9$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.881060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under61c800$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over47c800$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42345069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under48c700$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c681.63$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Under47c641.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under13c432.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Over51c412$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.714447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under44c404.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c401.75$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6322250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under60c385.76$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0421355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over37c384.85$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.469258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c358.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.411,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under60c355.26$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.161,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c295.98$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.551,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Over52c290.46$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5114151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over51c274.85$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8134547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c260.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under49c258.44$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c258.08$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6217248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c251.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.438147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Over37c238.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Under43c233.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c220.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6410851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52fc…6c84backed Under63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over50c203.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under63c195$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.854542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.165149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c186.89$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8714551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under63c185.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over38c185.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.976847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over38c184$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under56c177.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33be…d379backed Over38c129.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Under50c124.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdf…6e54backed Over38c123.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.175261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c113.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2114254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over49c108.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5741050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under62c106.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.233943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Over40c105.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under63c101.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413860.9%84 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x149f…d306backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.925646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcd…c0f2backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked Under41c98.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over38c93.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0230855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over54c88.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9651343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0938551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over58c86.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over37c85.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.921,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Under49c82.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f15…fb01backed Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Under49c62.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.798347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under43c58.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3612763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under56c58.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2823950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under44c57.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.366056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under44c57.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.365352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under62c53.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under63c52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7614560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over53c49.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2414347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Under63c45.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.673748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over73c44.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1233363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over51c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4838447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over50c43.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.682429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over37c40.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2620855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over55c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over59c33.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.714855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over41c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5d…a258backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6e…6dc3backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…0926backed Under48c31.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Under50c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over52c27.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1428652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf775…241abacked Under62c26.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Under49c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbb…0538backed Under49c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8eb…1b6dbacked Under49c24.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over58c22.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b9…044bbacked Under62c21.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.