NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ef32df47c4662afb73551e0e4e19e6c20ce14091c7004e628b7501fd3564df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Stars | 13c | 11,316$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.64 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Stars | 11c | 5,856$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.77 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…d709backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 4,728$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Stars | 8c | 2,791$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…276abacked Stars | 56c | 2,746$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…40b8backed Stars | 0c | 2,289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,131$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.32 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,086$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,049$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.47 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…d829backed Stars | 56c | 1,967$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Stars | 46c | 1,764$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Stars | 62c | 1,633$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Stars | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Stars | 61c | 1,336$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,166$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,110$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.61 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 64c | 1,101$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.56 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.87 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Stars | 13c | 948$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Stars | 54c | 869.08$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0804…0e63backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 800.07$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…2453backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 738.17$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 13c | 700$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 648.93$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 38c | 634.03$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Stars | 30c | 631.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Stars | 57c | 601.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Stars | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Stars | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 6c | 569.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…f062backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 566$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Stars | 58c | 533.76$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 521.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.61 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Stars | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Stars | 8c | 437.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…766abacked Stars | 57c | 410$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…d64dbacked Stars | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…b8a4backed Stars | 57c | 390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…cbe9backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a5d7backed Stars | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 320$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…cbddbacked Stars | 56c | 310$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Stars | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…c0e4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 9c | 283.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Stars | 73c | 273.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Stars | 7c | 272.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Stars | 4c | 271.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…6c21backed Stars | 56c | 266$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 58c | 257.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…b59fbacked Stars | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…b64fbacked Stars | 57c | 243.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…58a2backed Stars | 56c | 235$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e974backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 234.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Stars | 7c | 227.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…811ebacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 208.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 205$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 202.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Stars | 57c | 191.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…a9e4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 59c | 186.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f78…03a8backed Stars | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Stars | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Stars | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…a972backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Stars | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…b1c8backed Stars | 56c | 156.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…3777backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 155.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…8f96backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 151.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars | 62c | 149.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 136.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…52d6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 135.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 131.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 131.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Stars | 47c | 129$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…356dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 126.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…f686backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 126.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…af1ebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 124.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…923bbacked Stars | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…524cbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 121.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…d78bbacked Stars | 56c | 118.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 110.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Stars | 55c | 109.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.