NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce908f140145b3d28abe31e0ad189be3031248aec1ceb057266f6f5c143be097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,036,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,361,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,036,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed 49ers | 21c | 541,379$112,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,156.43 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 65c | 479,000$312,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,767.73 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked 49ers | 33c | 347,388$116,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,346.49 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 49ers | 21c | 317,294$68,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,174.15 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Lions | 62c | 304,655$187,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,028.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Lions | 67c | 230,996$155,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,995.66 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 49ers | 34c | 203,480$69,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,946.11 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Lions | 66c | 155,616$102,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,466.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked 49ers | 42c | 110,638$46,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,577.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked 49ers | 51c | 94,359$47,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,660.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed 49ers | 33c | 83,177$27,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,343.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Lions | 67c | 75,346$50,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed 49ers | 34c | 59,577$20,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,313.4 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked 49ers | 34c | 41,426$14,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,137.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Lions | 66c | 38,200$25,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,069.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 67c | 35,947$24,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,862.65 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Lions | 66c | 35,365$23,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,071.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 39c | 32,861$12,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,964.85 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 37c | 32,148$11,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,838.66 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Lions | 64c | 31,000$19,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,309.99 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked 49ers | 33c | 30,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked 49ers | 34c | 29,592$9,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,962.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed 49ers | 36c | 28,143$10,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,029.01 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Lions | 65c | 27,920$18,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.97 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed 49ers | 27c | 27,172$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.67 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed 49ers | 46c | 26,212$12,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,001.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers | 33c | 25,342$8,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,442.01 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers | 34c | 24,568$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.11 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed 49ers | 47c | 21,280$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed 49ers | 33c | 18,741$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Lions | 65c | 18,682$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,492.34 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Lions | 64c | 18,487$11,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Lions | 65c | 16,487$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked 49ers | 33c | 16,214$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,331.07 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed 49ers | 35c | 15,212$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,288.23 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Lions | 60c | 15,147$9,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.3 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Lions | 68c | 14,021$9,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.63 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed 49ers | 34c | 13,940$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 68c | 13,653$9,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.09 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lions | 68c | 12,477$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed 49ers | 34c | 12,471$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.25 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Lions | 53c | 12,438$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,895.37 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Lions | 67c | 11,909$8,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.81 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 49ers | 33c | 11,755$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.57 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed 49ers | 37c | 11,015$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.57 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Lions | 64c | 10,627$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.36 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed 49ers | 34c | 10,462$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Lions | 59c | 10,364$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.86 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lions | 51c | 10,345$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.35 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked 49ers | 34c | 10,213$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.96 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed 49ers | 34c | 10,210$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.34 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Lions | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 67c | 10,000$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.72 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked 49ers | 33c | 9,999$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.25 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked 49ers | 34c | 9,565$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.17 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lions | 53c | 9,451$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.97 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed 49ers | 34c | 9,436$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 49ers | 34c | 8,411$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.17 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked 49ers | 2c | 8,281$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed 49ers | 39c | 8,182$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.14 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 49ers | 47c | 7,707$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.92 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed 49ers | 7c | 7,174$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed 49ers | 44c | 7,165$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.04 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lions | 63c | 7,055$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.18 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers | 43c | 7,025$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.54 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed 49ers | 35c | 6,868$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…5fd9backed Lions | 64c | 6,804$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked 49ers | 34c | 6,803$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Lions | 65c | 6,787$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed 49ers | 34c | 6,771$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed 49ers | 35c | 6,740$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Lions | 66c | 6,698$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.47 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed 49ers | 34c | 6,613$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.57 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Lions | 67c | 6,269$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Lions | 70c | 6,263$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 65c | 6,178$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.21 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed 49ers | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.93 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Lions | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Lions | 67c | 5,406$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Lions | 67c | 5,283$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.43 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lions | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked 49ers | 36c | 4,980$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.67 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Lions | 66c | 4,697$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked 49ers | 56c | 4,620$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked 49ers | 36c | 4,466$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Lions | 65c | 4,369$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked 49ers | 33c | 4,282$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Lions | 70c | 4,235$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.58 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Lions | 67c | 4,205$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.61 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked 49ers | 40c | 4,146$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lions | 63c | 4,073$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.43 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked 49ers | 34c | 4,005$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.91 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed 49ers | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 49ers | 34c | 4,000$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.95 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed 49ers | 48c | 3,943$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Lions | 65c | 3,881$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Lions | 68c | 3,529$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.41 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…1b36backed Lions | 65c | 3,459$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lions | 67c | 3,433$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.84 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked 49ers | 34c | 3,322$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.