NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade6939cf1f73c01b4afe168140bef291ef3020cd1190cd7ac3941fbb1a493f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Canadiens | 49c | 7,093$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,927$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.07 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 3c | 1,907$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…fe56backed Penguins | 54c | 1,859$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…0cf7backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,859$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,480$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.59 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…335cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…c31abacked Penguins | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…5444backed Penguins | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…68ffbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…b094backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…da72backed Penguins | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…8585backed Penguins | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…fee7backed Penguins | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…7189backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…65d8backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…d478backed Penguins | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…a38cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…e99bbacked Penguins | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…1bb0backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…9c20backed Penguins | 51c | 1,150$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…ae5ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,076$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.98 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Penguins | 46c | 998.74$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.77 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Canadiens | 48c | 931.74$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…e9e1backed Canadiens | 49c | 867.35$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…80b7backed Penguins | 54c | 867.06$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…e140backed Canadiens | 49c | 866.33$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…7c19backed Penguins | 54c | 866.24$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…6257backed Canadiens | 49c | 863.27$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29e…50e2backed Penguins | 54c | 862.57$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…805cbacked Penguins | 54c | 859.87$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…7957backed Canadiens | 49c | 859.8$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…ce9bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 854.43$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…88abbacked Penguins | 54c | 854.41$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…51d4backed Canadiens | 49c | 854.29$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…d2a3backed Penguins | 53c | 854.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…b1cbbacked Canadiens | 48c | 847.38$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…7b8cbacked Penguins | 54c | 847.26$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe017…8e74backed Penguins | 54c | 844.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3b…6ceebacked Canadiens | 49c | 844.25$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…0e01backed Canadiens | 49c | 838.98$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…e400backed Penguins | 54c | 838.91$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…09c5backed Penguins | 54c | 838.15$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…cb57backed Canadiens | 49c | 836.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…cf02backed Penguins | 54c | 816.46$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…d4edbacked Canadiens | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Penguins | 52c | 803.34$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Canadiens | 47c | 799.92$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…6bc7backed Canadiens | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9e96backed Penguins | 54c | 795.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 49c | 746.53$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…3443backed Canadiens | 49c | 588.57$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb5…a489backed Penguins | 54c | 588.39$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Penguins | 39c | 555$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…7d3bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 553.06$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…be48backed Penguins | 54c | 552.19$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 48c | 396.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…09f1backed Penguins | 53c | 394.34$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…aa0fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Penguins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…07cbbacked Penguins | 52c | 382.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked Canadiens | 48c | 382.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b6d5backed Penguins | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…7b17backed Canadiens | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…c115backed Canadiens | 50c | 338$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Penguins | 52c | 333.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins | 51c | 284.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 52c | 263.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Canadiens | 48c | 262.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Canadiens | 48c | 262.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Penguins | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…e867backed Canadiens | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bec0backed Canadiens | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Penguins | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Penguins | 51c | 194.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Penguins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Penguins | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Penguins | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Canadiens | 49c | 179.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…eef5backed Canadiens | 49c | 163.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…35ddbacked Penguins | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Penguins | 51c | 159.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…e2d6backed Penguins | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins | 54c | 139.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…34e0backed Canadiens | 49c | 134.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a93…e99ebacked Penguins | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Penguins | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…347fbacked Penguins | 52c | 118.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…0725backed Canadiens | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…5b32backed Penguins | 52c | 116.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cac…be81backed Canadiens | 49c | 116.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…7908backed Penguins | 52c | 116.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…b3e8backed Canadiens | 50c | 116.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.