NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2846f46105db2b81f39e7f662a0b9be73da19c1f1ba31fd2a40b38a6418a7a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Magic | 72c | 58,537$42,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,436.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 76ers | 30c | 45,575$13,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,633.69 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Magic | 67c | 14,888$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.21 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers | 29c | 8,438$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.97 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 76ers | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Magic | 69c | 7,001$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.72 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ac…ad05backed 76ers | 39c | 6,134$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked 76ers | 26c | 6,131$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.9 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 34c | 5,473$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.37 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 29c | 4,196$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed 76ers | 36c | 3,999$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.66 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 30c | 3,958$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.54 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Magic | 66c | 3,776$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.65 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 30c | 3,534$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed 76ers | 32c | 3,435$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 32c | 3,208$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.69 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Magic | 68c | 3,125$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…e20ebacked Magic | 61c | 3,014$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…c62fbacked 76ers | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked 76ers | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…6961backed Magic | 70c | 3,000$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…e3cebacked Magic | 61c | 2,661$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 76ers | 36c | 2,655$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.82 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed 76ers | 1c | 2,603$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 61c | 2,585$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.06 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers | 33c | 2,385$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.11 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers | 31c | 2,363$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Magic | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 80c | 2,125$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…37d4backed Magic | 67c | 2,000$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed 76ers | 40c | 1,933$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.52 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers | 40c | 1,743$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.39 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…a075backed Magic | 72c | 1,700$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked 76ers | 36c | 1,600$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 27c | 1,555$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked 76ers | 28c | 1,552$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed 76ers | 30c | 1,550$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Magic | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…ee7dbacked 76ers | 37c | 1,407$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…434ebacked Magic | 62c | 1,387$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed 76ers | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Magic | 75c | 1,295$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Magic | 60c | 1,272$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…53e2backed Magic | 67c | 1,118$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 76ers | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Magic | 72c | 1,070$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Magic | 63c | 1,058$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Magic | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed 76ers | 40c | 1,011$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked 76ers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed 76ers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Magic | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb09…4e3bbacked 76ers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed 76ers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…fa85backed Magic | 62c | 993.55$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Magic | 66c | 979.61$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Magic | 65c | 935.18$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked 76ers | 37c | 935$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 71c | 923.87$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…e413backed 76ers | 36c | 905.09$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Magic | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 33c | 852.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Magic | 66c | 848.26$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 39c | 841.15$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.2 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked 76ers | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Magic | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Magic | 67c | 784.74$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers | 35c | 698.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked 76ers | 12c | 690$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed 76ers | 13c | 652.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…d1aabacked Magic | 63c | 635$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Magic | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Magic | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Magic | 64c | 557.53$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked 76ers | 14c | 500.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked 76ers | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers | 38c | 481.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Magic | 73c | 477.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Magic | 68c | 471.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed 76ers | 34c | 463.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Magic | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Magic | 61c | 453.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Magic | 65c | 451.67$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Magic | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Magic | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…1e3fbacked Magic | 67c | 434.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…8872backed 76ers | 34c | 400.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…7a47backed 76ers | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Magic | 68c | 392.54$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed 76ers | 36c | 389.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Magic | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Magic | 65c | 340.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed 76ers | 11c | 305$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed 76ers | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Magic | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.