TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Vikings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vikingsof Cardinals, Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 605 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Cardinals51c39,492$20,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,131.974736.2%17 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals30c39,219$11,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,691.9520634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals37c37,335$13,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,724.3632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Vikings72c32,031$23,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,959.063976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2db…1856backed Vikings64c31,378$20,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,369.925100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked Cardinals1c27,997$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Cardinals37c22,882$8,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,466.173943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Vikings63c19,733$12,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,301.336950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Cardinals37c19,184$7,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,103.515038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Vikings33c14,093$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,441.4514349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Vikings64c13,345$8,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.35565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Vikings35c10,555$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,815.8617823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed Cardinals50c9,470$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,735.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb38…ae5fbacked Vikings50c9,435$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals37c8,479$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.2925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Vikings63c7,874$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.473265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Vikings47c7,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Vikings64c5,385$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Vikings63c5,204$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.417857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Vikings63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8502391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals43c4,387$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.5922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Vikings43c4,382$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.7344246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Vikings64c4,204$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.372176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Cardinals52c2,925$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.121225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Cardinals3c2,631$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.823821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Vikings33c2,610$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.7220733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Vikings63c2,500$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.9528556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e4…1b25backed Vikings62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…e52fbacked Vikings63c2,415$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Vikings37c2,318$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.352138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Vikings63c2,079$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.371861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Cardinals37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7405527.3%15 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Vikings26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48011821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Cardinals36c1,797$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.734420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Vikings40c1,788$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.7621151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Vikings41c1,697$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.674042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Vikings69c1,674$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.598953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Vikings64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.56947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Vikings64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.57456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Vikings64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Cardinals34c1,529$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cardinals37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9714757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Cardinals37c1,500$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9310738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Cardinals37c1,488$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.4314022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Cardinals16c1,450$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Cardinals38c1,446$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.537541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Cardinals54c1,378$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.514124.4%10 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Vikings61c1,321$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.193351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Cardinals38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Cardinals39c1,269$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Vikings64c1,268$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Vikings56c1,244$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.2229059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals30c1,196$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3831848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Cardinals72c1,193$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.2210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Vikings31c1,100$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7565939%23 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c88…4c64backed Cardinals39c1,050$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7254…e002backed Vikings63c1,049$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Vikings46c1,030$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.098650%43 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Vikings63c1,005$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Cardinals37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Vikings64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Cardinals34c912.92$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Vikings31c903.19$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.2420246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e99…c594backed Cardinals37c877.7$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…3453backed Vikings67c857.4$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Vikings49c820.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2610768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28813040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Vikings63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbb…4352backed Cardinals38c793.42$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaa…2f33backed Vikings76c786.87$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Vikings63c777.67$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.741070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals28c743.86$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Vikings39c739.22$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Vikings53c738.37$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8925453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e6…b3c5backed Vikings65c717$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.951457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Vikings64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Cardinals39c690$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Cardinals31c673.66$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.832516%4 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-72.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Vikings63c640$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4400…65bbbacked Cardinals38c639.95$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Vikings47c637.23$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.736752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Vikings62c581$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.622972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Vikings63c541$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1719864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Cardinals44c529.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.694546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Vikings63c529.1$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.772190.5%19 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7bb8…b625backed Vikings47c524.77$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.551060%6 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Vikings43c519$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.024330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Vikings56c509.98$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7437556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Vikings64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Vikings27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Vikings63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.994669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Vikings63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1916451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Vikings42c474.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4723351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Vikings63c464.86$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1723759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Cardinals65c460$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Cardinals37c444$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Cardinals34c444$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.962142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf53b…da58backed Cardinals79c430.68$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Vikings63c417.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4613255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.