TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd54…b332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Boxing at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$60.95
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$95.77
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+795.5%+$222.09
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$13.4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$222
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$207.5
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.25
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$137.35
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+51.7%+$31.31
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$80.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$24.89
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+184.8%+$203.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$16.68
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$44.25
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+183.7%+$258.98
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+98%+$88.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$110.5
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$108.6
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.4%+$92.3
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will NightCap Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$64.83
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+147.9%+$89.5
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$41.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$52.05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$59.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+156.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$4,735.02
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$490
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+156.4%+$175.64
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+138.1%+$385.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+445.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,654Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+69.5%+$1,844.25
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+49.3%+$78.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will Google dip to $300 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magny vs. Pratesbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.