Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03522ed2c837f74f93785c9e3c8a12cca8a6b5a19dec15f8a91052fc2301cbfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3f3…e086backed No | 37c | 67,731$24,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,802.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 33c | 27,647$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,503.82 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…5a4bbacked No | 0c | 18,505$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 77c | 17,856$13,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.01 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…429fbacked No | 10c | 13,705$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…1761backed Yes | 66c | 9,028$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 67c | 8,502$5,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.19 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 59c | 8,052$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.52 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked No | 4c | 7,207$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 78c | 6,700$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.62 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed No | 71c | 5,937$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…e4babacked No | 6c | 4,945$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…7100backed Yes | 55c | 4,711$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.37 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 80c | 4,709$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 71c | 4,617$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 4,545$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed No | 7c | 4,428$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…381ebacked No | 7c | 3,811$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 2,530$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.87 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d680backed No | 5c | 2,505$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…18fcbacked No | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 10c | 2,243$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…22fbbacked No | 5c | 2,195$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 78c | 2,090$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…6600backed No | 50c | 2,029$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 2c | 2,005$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 8c | 2,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 24c | 1,826$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked No | 2c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 51c | 1,570$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…fa9ebacked No | 52c | 1,549$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 22c | 1,535$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.73 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 1,505$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed No | 2c | 1,491$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked No | 7c | 1,447$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea8…78d7backed No | 6c | 1,441$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 8c | 1,421$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 7c | 1,397$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed Yes | 31c | 1,397$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.53 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…48b5backed No | 5c | 1,379$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 57c | 1,342$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.17 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bc03backed No | 5c | 1,313$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed No | 8c | 1,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d99…3a93backed No | 4c | 1,285$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 1,274$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.03 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 5c | 1,270$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…3098backed No | 58c | 1,210$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 28c | 1,200$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…2a45backed No | 5c | 1,195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 53c | 1,183$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…8cd6backed No | 4c | 1,169$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…7039backed No | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…e051backed No | 67c | 1,110$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…ab0abacked No | 5c | 1,067$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…59a8backed No | 3c | 1,052$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…58abbacked No | 5c | 1,037$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…88adbacked No | 5c | 1,028$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…f4e2backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +585.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed No | 5c | 980.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…4167backed No | 8c | 969.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 20c | 949.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 50c | 947.26$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…c5c4backed No | 49c | 900.65$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…5e15backed No | 7c | 900.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 48c | 870.95$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.94 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed Yes | 45c | 845.52$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece4…b400backed No | 7c | 829.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 55c | 820.48$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…b4c6backed No | 13c | 792.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…2774backed No | 73c | 781.1$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…6e45backed No | 13c | 779.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 75c | 728.4$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…4421backed No | 10c | 679.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 40c | 668.74$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 41c | 647.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.11 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 47c | 643.13$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…5ac3backed No | 78c | 641.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…a1afbacked No | 8c | 628.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f035backed No | 5c | 621.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked No | 6c | 617.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 7cpaid | +759.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 77c | 601.91$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed No | 55c | 600.44$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…4b70backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 43c | 575.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.49 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Yes | 53c | 574.5$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 560.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed No | 60c | 540.68$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 59c | 512.69$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 5c | 509.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…1745backed Yes | 25c | 503.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1282…1a25backed No | 4c | 500.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?this page
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?Yes won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.