Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5f4815a151d708535a0ba706932fc293c5e00033617e0093a5395147a1aee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 70c | 7,465$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.48 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 21c | 7,268$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…271abacked Yes | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…8163backed Yes | 28c | 1,974$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 29c | 1,940$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.11 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,890$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 15c | 1,877$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 5c | 1,819$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,736$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.5 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 68c | 1,659$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.48 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 12c | 1,502$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 1,138$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 4c | 1,043$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 36c | 1,035$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 16c | 999.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 3c | 999.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 937.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 25c | 905$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 72c | 831.79$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…61d8backed Yes | 22c | 766.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 18c | 744.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 725.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 75c | 646.01$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 19c | 624.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 22c | 593.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 20c | 579.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 24c | 548.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…c72fbacked Yes | 21c | 506.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 487.37$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 447.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 72c | 382$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 20c | 367.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 27c | 343.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 70c | 279.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 251$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…78febacked Yes | 22c | 244.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 17c | 234.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…6cdebacked Yes | 29c | 190$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…eb68backed No | 74c | 185.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 183.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…489dbacked No | 76c | 157.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…2172backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Yes | 34c | 149.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked No | 78c | 130.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 78c | 118.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 75c | 105.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…0b9cbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed Yes | 13c | 94.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 78c | 94.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 21c | 92.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…1c77backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…1943backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ec…9a6bbacked Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…0441backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…0e68backed Yes | 30c | 53.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…46a2backed Yes | 31c | 48.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…0e99backed No | 57c | 44.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…0113backed No | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 69c | 34.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked No | 80c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a8…71f1backed Yes | 32c | 31.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…1f92backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…61edbacked No | 73c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…7280backed No | 80c | 26.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 74c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…391fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…4273backed No | 65c | 16.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 73c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…e41cbacked No | 72c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?this page
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?Yes won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Yes won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No won
- Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.