TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eef…0e99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$19.3
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+186.5%+$32.55
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+326.8%+$119.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+36%+$15.87
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.9
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.24
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.23
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$16.47
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+167.9%+$94
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.