World Politics · resolved market
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8676acfb0d05bf68920c689112b5b17fd68ab6adef079b51cce373607ab54e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 5c | 43,607$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.45 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…1cedbacked No | 4c | 32,111$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…f55dbacked No | 1c | 27,264$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +471.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 7c | 22,998$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 5c | 16,863$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +625.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 9c | 14,617$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.51 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed No | 1c | 14,497$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 11c | 11,537$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 6c | 11,280$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 8c | 11,144$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 11c | 11,031$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 10,885$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 9c | 10,660$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.14 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 7c | 10,476$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 9c | 9,000$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…ba11backed No | 1c | 7,600$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 7c | 7,135$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 20c | 6,478$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 15c | 6,230$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 1c | 5,970$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 5,366$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…d11fbacked No | 5c | 5,259$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…93dabacked No | 0c | 5,204$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed No | 5c | 5,140$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…c072backed No | 8c | 4,449$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 3c | 4,419$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked No | 12c | 4,264$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…c77cbacked No | 20c | 4,231$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 15c | 4,126$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.36 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 9c | 4,070$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…6b3fbacked No | 13c | 4,039$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…0051backed No | 8c | 3,800$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 11c | 3,610$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 3,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…712abacked No | 15c | 3,361$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 3c | 3,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed No | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 3c | 3,333$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed No | 3c | 3,301$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed No | 13c | 3,246$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked No | 6c | 3,163$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…a41abacked No | 2c | 3,065$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed No | 5c | 3,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 8c | 3,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 16c | 2,976$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 7c | 2,572$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 20c | 2,483$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…4df4backed No | 3c | 2,293$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 5c | 2,221$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 6c | 2,082$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 7c | 2,034$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 5c | 2,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed No | 9c | 1,899$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked No | 4c | 1,800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…7207backed No | 9c | 1,786$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 7c | 1,722$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…f649backed No | 5c | 1,676$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…998cbacked No | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…0ed5backed No | 14c | 1,533$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…6dacbacked No | 7c | 1,499$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed No | 11c | 1,404$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked No | 5c | 1,350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 4c | 1,240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,186$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 12c | 1,088$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…46d4backed No | 3c | 1,075$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 24c | 1,071$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed No | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 7c | 1,003$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…7cd5backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed No | 18c | 999.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…7a2fbacked No | 9c | 996.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…35fabacked No | 15c | 982.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…be73backed No | 8c | 973.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…8d47backed No | 10c | 872.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2850backed No | 5c | 853.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…e8e7backed No | 3c | 803.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…197ebacked No | 5c | 778.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…a95dbacked No | 5c | 714.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 23c | 706.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed No | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 686.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed No | 17c | 649.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…f660backed No | 5c | 612.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…54ebbacked No | 6c | 599.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…065ebacked No | 4c | 594.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 6c | 588.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked No | 18c | 587.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…4da7backed No | 17c | 539.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…f7fcbacked No | 4c | 521.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfd…c3c7backed No | 3c | 517.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…aeb3backed No | 12c | 511.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…857cbacked No | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 5c | 478$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…a6c1backed No | 6c | 423.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 3c | 422.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.