Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa411d564ff72afdc3a94fb2cd0d68122c1bb7674ffafb76be40beb7ca4f2b904

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $172,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $143,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	19,599$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.07	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Yes	2c	5,763$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	1c	5,700$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.97	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	74c	2,645$1,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.38	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	2,509$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.67	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	2,489$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefd…abf6backed Yes	33c	2,265$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.51	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e4…02a8backed Yes	3c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	11c	1,989$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.94	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes	1c	1,652$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	49	6.1%3 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes	13c	1,552$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed No	71c	1,481$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.93	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	1,433$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.7	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,335$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.48	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c10…6747backed Yes	12c	1,116$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Yes	27c	1,109$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.19	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…626fbacked Yes	35c	1,006$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+121.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	20c	1,000$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.4	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	1,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	20c	987.53$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.24	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c39…9bdcbacked Yes	2c	959.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	19c	943.5$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.43	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed No	68c	936.87$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.53	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	921.91$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.22	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Yes	35c	826.75$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.84	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	3c	810.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	30c	749.99$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes	5c	718.36$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	10c	704.74$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.28	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	6c	633.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8586…9eb0backed Yes	35c	565.02$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	9c	535.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	8c	524.24$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x097f…2d35backed Yes	21c	492.54$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-52%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	6c	450.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	3c	450$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	17c	448.84$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.13	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	9c	437$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	12c	416.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	72c	368.32$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.12	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe38…4207backed Yes	20c	350.05$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	11c	350$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	142	18.3%26 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+124.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…4017backed Yes	30c	344.28$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5545…8371backed Yes	12c	335.84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	28c	309.53$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	18c	302.68$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26a…f740backed Yes	15c	272.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f2…376dbacked Yes	18c	249.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab43…7c23backed Yes	32c	248.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-5.0wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes	23c	241.88$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.63	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes	23c	231.77$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.17	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8e…aaf5backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe2…f9a3backed Yes	24c	209.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11c8…6f8fbacked Yes	6c	208.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	10c	204.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked No	75c	202.83$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf674…a4a1backed Yes	13c	196.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72d…a1d6backed Yes	18c	189.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+162.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0532…9bbabacked Yes	12c	170.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…b862backed Yes	19c	160$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	22c	159.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	77c	150$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	185	31.4%58 W · 127 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed6…b287backed Yes	28c	142.76$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	77c	141.51$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.44	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e49…b263backed Yes	10c	137.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2260…9fcdbacked Yes	12c	136.39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	19c	134.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.55	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf2…b4e8backed Yes	12c	127.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08d…9461backed Yes	10c	119$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e19…c62cbacked Yes	22c	110.03$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	109.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…0986backed Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…c58abacked Yes	10c	108.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	36c	105.95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	172	16.9%29 W · 143 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee04…c22bbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Yes	26c	100.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	138	21.7%30 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	181	18.8%34 W · 147 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb6…140fbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f14…8121backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a92…2519backed Yes	18c	99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…ef1abacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x900a…65d0backed Yes	35c	73.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf7…6547backed Yes	14c	71.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes	25c	60.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb765…f696backed Yes	27c	57.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe781…ec59backed Yes	23c	51.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6971…834bbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca1…050fbacked Yes	30c	49.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…05fdbacked Yes	31c	48.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…aebabacked No	74c	46.11$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.89	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…a74bbacked Yes	24c	41.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eef…0e99backed No	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?this page
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 305–319 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 230 times May 30–June 6?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 260–274 times May 30–June 6?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event