Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8da22cd640567260d6a866cad7aec4144faf1acb6c89476bf81c7c57548af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked Yes | 27c | 57,789$15,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,826.7 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed Yes | 72c | 46,585$33,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,616.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 71c | 25,063$17,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,841.35 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 15c | 14,764$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.97 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…1cedbacked No | 61c | 14,616$8,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 55c | 13,621$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 50c | 13,228$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,644.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…aa35backed Yes | 8c | 12,014$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 46c | 11,180$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.18 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 51c | 10,373$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.48 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 61c | 7,666$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.89 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 40c | 7,323$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.01 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed Yes | 49c | 6,600$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 62c | 6,511$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.52 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed No | 31c | 5,900$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,399$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked No | 32c | 5,381$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed Yes | 33c | 5,326$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Yes | 10c | 5,060$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 7c | 4,775$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.23 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked Yes | 69c | 4,704$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 41c | 4,610$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…f07bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,573$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed No | 77c | 4,484$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 40c | 4,461$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ff…4d3dbacked No | 60c | 4,337$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 36c | 4,254$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.75 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 27c | 3,716$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 58c | 3,578$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 42c | 3,547$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.29 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed No | 32c | 3,480$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…63b4backed Yes | 46c | 3,445$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 3,435$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.98 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 35c | 3,325$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.47 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 53c | 3,212$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.37 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 58c | 2,700$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed No | 72c | 2,684$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed No | 43c | 2,632$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed No | 78c | 2,572$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…1050backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 2,316$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…a70dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,310$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,270$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 38c | 2,227$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 33c | 2,141$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.65 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed No | 26c | 2,110$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…3843backed No | 70c | 2,095$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked No | 39c | 2,056$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 31c | 2,051$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.84 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 20c | 2,049$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 35c | 1,938$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 26c | 1,906$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 79c | 1,753$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 1,700$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 49c | 1,673$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cb…fc91backed No | 50c | 1,632$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 28c | 1,580$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.64 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43db…133ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,560$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…90f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,556$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed No | 74c | 1,513$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 57c | 1,507$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…dfdabacked No | 65c | 1,462$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 32c | 1,459$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed No | 35c | 1,445$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,438$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.2 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked No | 43c | 1,354$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 62c | 1,342$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.57 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed No | 57c | 1,300$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.77 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…cd45backed No | 43c | 1,298$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 41c | 1,200$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.04 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…2ad7backed No | 50c | 1,199$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed Yes | 8c | 1,197$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 60c | 1,190$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…cd7abacked Yes | 22c | 1,167$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed No | 67c | 1,099$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed No | 50c | 1,099$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…e940backed No | 36c | 1,095$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 60c | 1,075$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed No | 78c | 1,055$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,037$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes | 52c | 1,024$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.21 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…07edbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ca3ebacked No | 40c | 989.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 44c | 971.83$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.75 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed Yes | 66c | 955.38$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…edc7backed No | 55c | 953.6$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…4083backed No | 39c | 934$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…d046backed No | 38c | 921.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…15a6backed No | 79c | 912$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…2e50backed Yes | 40c | 901.15$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…24f7backed No | 42c | 890.49$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked No | 42c | 882.17$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 51c | 863.84$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 26c | 787.58$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 63c | 780$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 52c | 774.83$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.