Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c4bd705d3726ea3fb0846a1d23cec2a1d626c9369b5ac4a2a3c5ed1b021d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62b2…9bc1backed No | 24c | 24,155$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 64c | 16,272$10,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,416.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 8c | 14,110$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.24 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…a61cbacked No | 0c | 12,594$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 33c | 8,738$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.1 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 2c | 7,318$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 7,117$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.56 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 0c | 7,109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 77c | 6,406$4,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.6 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed Yes | 76c | 5,866$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.97 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 17c | 5,469$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.94 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 57c | 5,140$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…cd6abacked No | 4c | 4,939$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…a057backed No | 5c | 4,877$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 20c | 4,599$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.74 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 3c | 4,445$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 72c | 4,296$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.88 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 27c | 4,259$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…cc4fbacked No | 26c | 4,244$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…1af9backed No | 12c | 4,159$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 78c | 3,876$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 68c | 3,748$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.41 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…7e18backed No | 5c | 3,718$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 73c | 3,607$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 10c | 3,494$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 41c | 3,383$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,225$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.86 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 11c | 3,150$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.86 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 25c | 3,114$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.86 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 4c | 3,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked No | 2c | 2,983$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed No | 74c | 2,841$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 77c | 2,803$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,757$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 68c | 2,711$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 12c | 2,686$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.19 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 34c | 2,133$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.68 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…4e60backed No | 5c | 2,114$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…6149backed Yes | 41c | 2,100$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 19c | 2,082$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 16c | 1,977$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 29c | 1,965$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 1,927$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.86 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 30c | 1,923$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…b16dbacked No | 2c | 1,881$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8e31backed No | 3c | 1,860$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 74c | 1,849$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 13c | 1,750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 35c | 1,750$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…92f9backed No | 3c | 1,732$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 61c | 1,645$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,577$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.52 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…b5a6backed No | 21c | 1,518$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8723backed No | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 2c | 1,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,468$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…3b09backed Yes | 70c | 1,412$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 37c | 1,337$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.15 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes | 69c | 1,331$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,326$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 4c | 1,310$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…3bdabacked Yes | 56c | 1,269$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,250$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 19c | 1,250$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 63c | 1,200$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 8c | 1,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 70c | 1,200$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…f4efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,176$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,169$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.24 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,166$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.41 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…9e58backed Yes | 17c | 1,122$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 1,101$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.92 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 5c | 1,070$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…4201backed No | 11c | 998.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 19c | 981.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.62 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed No | 14c | 973.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…c115backed Yes | 78c | 920.98$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 16c | 917.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 71c | 904.38$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 72c | 899.99$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 68c | 876.67$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…6cb0backed No | 22c | 876.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…8643backed No | 35c | 867.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 11c | 850$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 71c | 805$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed Yes | 12c | 789.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 16c | 780.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed Yes | 34c | 773.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 65c | 761.7$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 65c | 750.77$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked No | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 40c | 747$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 51c | 745.63$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 20c | 734.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 76c | 722.17$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.85 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 6c | 712.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…ba52backed Yes | 68c | 703$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.