Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb436051396382846c7b8bc14f8dd2f0e107c579f597f08f00f83fe7891a54d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 12c | 5,576$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 4,186$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.15 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,744$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed Yes | 37c | 2,196$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,741$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 1,564$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.06 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,488$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 19c | 1,483$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Yes | 23c | 1,218$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…32cbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,078$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,027$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 55c | 902.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…67adbacked Yes | 34c | 869.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 24c | 808.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 36c | 777.77$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…0876backed Yes | 50c | 740.65$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4881…39e0backed No | 70c | 718.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 7c | 704.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…c52cbacked Yes | 30c | 673.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 37c | 627.19$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 70c | 619.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 58c | 612.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…4df9backed No | 61c | 608.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 63c | 593.74$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Yes | 33c | 587.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 581.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 44c | 560.41$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked No | 69c | 507.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 74c | 460.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 36c | 455.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…30a5backed Yes | 5c | 423.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 37c | 418$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 57c | 417.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed Yes | 5c | 400.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 73c | 398.47$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…1888backed No | 57c | 396.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 48c | 317.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 70c | 316.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 41c | 312$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 42c | 309.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 306.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 60c | 299.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…d0f6backed Yes | 40c | 297.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…8530backed No | 63c | 281.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 51c | 277.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 12c | 275$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed Yes | 38c | 264.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 27c | 258$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…ca0bbacked Yes | 6c | 256.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 44c | 254.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…4fa1backed No | 48c | 248.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 8c | 239$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 59c | 236$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 5c | 229.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 5c | 228.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 71c | 216.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed No | 48c | 211$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 30c | 191.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 54c | 183.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…2732backed Yes | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 57c | 179.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…c54abacked No | 62c | 177$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 71c | 176.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…94cabacked Yes | 44c | 170.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 60c | 167.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed Yes | 29c | 164.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…21e6backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 159.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d4…ec2ebacked No | 63c | 159.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 51c | 157.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…f158backed Yes | 46c | 157.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 22c | 152.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 60c | 151.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…0e99backed Yes | 8c | 145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 39c | 142.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 48c | 141.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 11c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 31c | 137.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 132.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…7176backed Yes | 39c | 131.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 130.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed No | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 72c | 129.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…9091backed Yes | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 28c | 121$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 11c | 114.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…b945backed No | 63c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 27c | 109.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked No | 56c | 109$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 39c | 107.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?this page
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Yes won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.