Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d7bd88b69fe605b4fd19f24ee631caf1bf605e650ad4435ead349fbef523c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 13c | 15,728$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.61 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 77c | 3,628$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 7c | 2,991$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 25c | 2,084$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 2,036$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.7 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 78c | 1,960$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…ac9cbacked No | 76c | 1,932$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 1,192$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,098$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 26c | 999.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 30c | 998.92$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 24c | 978.54$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 8c | 949$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 915.35$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 21c | 905.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 64c | 894.05$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…8aa7backed Yes | 31c | 819.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 810.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 759.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 758.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 70c | 747.04$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 702.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 27c | 666$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed Yes | 51c | 665$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 70c | 549.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 16c | 535$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 71c | 526.87$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 516$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 61c | 499.96$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked No | 44c | 458.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 73c | 440.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 78c | 415.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked No | 74c | 370$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Yes | 16c | 350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…e1c3backed Yes | 29c | 349.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 73c | 333$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 29c | 322.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 8c | 322.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 61c | 299.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 75c | 294.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 59c | 281.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…af2bbacked No | 71c | 280.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 50c | 260.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7eccbacked Yes | 18c | 240$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 223.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 24c | 218.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…cb9bbacked Yes | 61c | 211$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 76c | 203.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…c04ebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 55c | 198.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 74c | 183.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed No | 78c | 179.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…a406backed Yes | 8c | 177.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…1484backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…496abacked Yes | 31c | 153.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed No | 39c | 148.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…115fbacked No | 71c | 140.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…d0f6backed Yes | 21c | 138.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 72c | 138.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 29c | 132.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 72c | 124.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a7efbacked No | 46c | 111.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…4f5fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 57c | 99.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed Yes | 24c | 95.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 75c | 95.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked No | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…3f92backed No | 50c | 91.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…5c98backed No | 34c | 89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 74c | 83.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…40c4backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked No | 41c | 77.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 68.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…a3fabacked No | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 35c | 63.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…4deabacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…837abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?this page
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Yes won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?No won
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.