TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa6f…7e67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5479.6%43 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$23.66
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$59.37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232.24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$69.42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.92
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.6%+$66.24
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.5%+$13.62
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$70.71
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75%+$11.07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.4%+$20.71
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$45.78
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41%+$8.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.1%+$97.46
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.06
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$26.99
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$95.1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+44%+$135.22
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$26.68
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$27.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$31.98
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$23.36
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$338.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$50.9
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+426.2%+$171.71
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.8%+$11.53
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$47.33
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$4.44
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$111.35
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.14
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.72
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.65
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.76
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.78
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+50.2%+$20.72
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.44
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$27.8
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$8.32
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.1
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$20.33
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.63
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$62.9
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.98
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$40.34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.21
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.47
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+472.2%+$64.11
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+83.6%+$129.79
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+71.6%+$32.23
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$87.27
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.86
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$24.56
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$205.96
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$65.85
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.18
Bolsonaro guilty?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$30.82
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.1
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.65
Will valid votes be fewer than 5.8 million in Bolivia election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.83
Will valid votes be between 5.8-6 million in Bolivia election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$24.44
Will valid votes be between 6-6.2 million in Bolivia election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$8.6
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+157.2%+$190.13
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$42.61
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$35.51
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+181%+$267.77
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$156.64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.34
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.48
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26%+$18.69
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.38
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.05
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$48.3
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$101.74
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.02
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$39.08
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.16
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$59.92
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.2
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.18
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$37.78
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $390b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$31.81
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$15.55
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$59.88
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.96
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$98.75
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.57
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$42.37
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1989.5%17 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.93
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63%+$23.96
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.6%+$66.82
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.8%+$51.82
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.76
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$12.56
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.3%+$20.41
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$24.06
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$11.61
Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$71.93
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.65
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$50.07
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$32.03
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$59.81
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$74.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$98.6
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$239.4
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+54%+$248.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.11
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9.36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.81
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$8.44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.53
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.59
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.58
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$22.37
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.14
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.69
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.19
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$44.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.58
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$140.62
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3-3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.19
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.5-10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$69.68
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.95
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+124.8%+$247.96
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.97
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+820.7%+$356.44
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.33
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$24.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4.23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+50.3%+$27.85
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.2%+$79.16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.96
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.28
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.84
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$23.66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.83
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$24.18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.62
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$23.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+55.4%+$81.38
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$81.3
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$23.4
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.72
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$34.11
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$42.42
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$25.06
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.7
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$95.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$167.05
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$130.82
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.06
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$127.72
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$93.51
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$49.58
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.15
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+52.6%+$26.55
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$65.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-70.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.58
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.32
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.27
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$32.99
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$57.04
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$18.97
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$139.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$42.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$175.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$78.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.