Movies · resolved market

Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0948c803f1ce2b8929b2f365838932c7e37ab06ae057d95a6ab25e6a487a9d1

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,049 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9804…6896backed Yes	64c	5,027$3,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,227.93	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	36c	4,413$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.14	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed No	22c	2,677$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,087.67	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes	74c	2,487$1,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.26	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.8wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes	48c	2,000$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.38	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+19.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89d7…3fabbacked Yes	28c	1,097$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.4	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes	17c	924.27$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x748f…f6e5backed Yes	78c	900$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	31c	799.99$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked Yes	41c	785.15$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes	72c	640.28$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	47cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	20c	612.21$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.44	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ccf…34e6backed Yes	76c	540$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d33…5a2ebacked Yes	73c	529.13$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	29c	516.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	16c	469.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	328	14.9%49 W · 279 L	+14.2wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8f…3c8abacked No	71c	423.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.96	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No	70c	421.19$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.11	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes	77c	411.66$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.19	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No	28c	390.27$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.33	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No	73c	332.33$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.34	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…8bc9backed Yes	24c	332$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.71	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes	36c	324.68$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.82	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Yes	75c	319.83$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.45	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…4b76backed Yes	71c	305.83$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	187	19.3%36 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yes	35c	289.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes	33c	283$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.72	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	64c	268.24$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.19	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No	75c	266.26$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.26	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+3.9wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes	27c	265.03$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.88	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	29c	238.75$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.51	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc745…b952backed No	34c	236$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.2	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	28c	213.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.37	870	33.3%290 W · 580 L	-77.0wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa575…08b0backed No	24c	213.75$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	47c	201.31$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.89	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…6c04backed Yes	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes	38c	199.74$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26c6…ea7ebacked Yes	42c	194.52$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.33	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…ee61backed No	25c	191.65$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.02	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65bf…4b91backed Yes	15c	170.54$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-73%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefc…a993backed Yes	76c	162.31$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.59	25	56%14 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b37…9b74backed Yes	71c	159.27$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d9…5653backed Yes	38c	156.18$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	31c	150$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No	72c	123.44$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.03	191	33%63 W · 128 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd7…0e39backed Yes	30c	117.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	29c	111.39$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.56	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes	31c	110.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8933…1495backed Yes	34c	109.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	32c	105$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No	77c	103.14$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked No	15c	100$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	121	4.1%5 W · 116 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-85%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Yes	46c	99.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x053e…6422backed Yes	63c	95.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…df44backed Yes	51c	93.1$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	30c	93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a6…bf47backed Yes	27c	84.52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3688…a354backed Yes	29c	83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ad…fd50backed Yes	76c	80$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eaa…3ca3backed No	78c	78.21$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…8b76backed Yes	22c	77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	70	30%21 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb933…fb0abacked Yes	42c	76.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b24…01abbacked Yes	34c	70.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked Yes	71c	64$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	27c	63.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.38	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Yes	29c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	61c	59.74$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…26aebacked Yes	72c	55.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4817…8f8abacked Yes	21c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes	49c	52.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1854…ab30backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0931…8636backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0b…5c3abacked No	22c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	64c	47.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	192	40.6%78 W · 114 L	-20.3wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca1e…75edbacked Yes	33c	47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…16acbacked Yes	78c	45.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	74c	45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e7…eb42backed Yes	72c	43.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Yes	73c	40.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c8…3b43backed Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes	71c	40$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf793…69c6backed Yes	79c	39.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	79c	37.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x378d…18f8backed Yes	70c	37.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x111b…bad9backed No	70c	35.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.61	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x560a…0becbacked Yes	33c	32.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes	78c	29.71$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf933…52fbbacked Yes	44c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34ad…d41dbacked Yes	77c	26.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6210…7806backed Yes	72c	20.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4be…c4c1backed Yes	79c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6934…2a8fbacked Yes	79c	18.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d4…18dcbacked Yes	73c	16.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?this page
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?No won
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?No won
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?Yes won
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event