TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ec…1dad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
285
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5961%36 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.8%+$16.74
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.4%+$72.93
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$20.54
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.58
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.24
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.73
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.15
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.88
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$12.65
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.81
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$17.89
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.3
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$43.37
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$11.46
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+131.9%+$28.03
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+385.8%+$51.92
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$80.98
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$31.01
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.3
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.02
Will the U.S. national debt hit $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34%+$22.23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.1%+$19.57
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.3%+$37.27
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$50.44
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$18.82
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$28.19
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.69
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.57
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.29
US strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.05
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+29%+$39.58
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.52
Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.57
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$445.86
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Spain airdrop aid into Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$59.38
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$59.63
Israel strikes Syria by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$218.24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$107.72
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$69.69
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+54.6%+$27.56
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.6%+$54.21
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.8%+$44.94
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$130.42
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$178.78
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70.7%+$56.94
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$9.1
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$80.29
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$8.24
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13.52
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+299.2%+$33.86
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.54
Bolsonaro guilty?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$8
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$22.02
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.18
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+121.9%+$42.47
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$45.76
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+81.5%+$61.94
North Korea missile test by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$23.44
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.21
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$74.32
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$27.07
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+93%+$131.48
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.28
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$65.05
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.6%+$39.74
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$96.48
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.9%+$31.46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$92.11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.9%+$21.94
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$256.87
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$26.46
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$36.3
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.68
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$24.23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.52
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.98
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$47.09
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$334.59
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$47.69
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$29.25
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$24.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$36.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$20.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$52.8
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$28.93
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.66
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.9
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$112.72
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$21.87
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+58.5%+$26.74
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.74
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$213.81
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.66
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$56.81
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$31.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$39.6
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$125.12
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+112.5%+$21.67
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$48.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$27.36
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+108.2%+$57.39
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$25.88
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+285.2%+$72.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$16.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$85.66
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.66
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+89.5%+$85.24
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$17.28
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$63.42
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.42
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$26.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$172.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.45
F1 Belgian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$7.83
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.92
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+123.6%+$117.07
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+159.3%+$55.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.65
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.8%+$33.01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.16
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.62
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+27%+$7.22
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$82.16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.2
Fed rate cut by October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.12
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$69.37
Will two people dissent the Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$30.16
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.31
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.77
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$91.34
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+50%+$134.94
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.04
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12-14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14-16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$43.71
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$85.56
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$91.58
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.66
Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.16
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.74
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.76
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in Home Runs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+61.1%+$104.49
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the AL East Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+221.8%+$140.84
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.74
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+142.8%+$75.87
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.29
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.4%+$22.95
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$101.91
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+93.2%+$12.53
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$7.65
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.73
Hyperliquid flips Bybit in SOL Open Interest in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$11.54
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+52%+$147.65
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+26.2%+$33.24
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.83
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$32.48
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.28
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$58
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.22
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+166.4%+$168.6
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.61
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$36.35
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.31
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+120.8%+$34.85
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.29
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$62.52
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$84.34
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.41
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$634.97
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$673.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$143.92
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+95.1%+$104.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.07
Will the Bengals grow up?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$24.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.