Middle East · resolved market
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9f48afc78637d9f664ddefb5540321a1b1b8ef651887ef7ec6c8347ced596e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 23,251$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 48c | 4,273$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.83 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 29c | 2,699$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.33 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 2,167$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 7c | 1,871$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 32c | 1,794$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.62 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 1,750$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.07 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,621$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed Yes | 13c | 1,578$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,381$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dd…c5b7backed Yes | 51c | 1,252$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,199$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 39c | 929.14$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 13c | 756.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 35c | 716.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 64c | 664.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.64 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 45c | 655.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.52 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed No | 74c | 643.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 16c | 635.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 7c | 589.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 53c | 555.49$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.61 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 16c | 555$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 76c | 420.51$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 27c | 400$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 43c | 391.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed Yes | 48c | 369$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 56c | 318.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 29c | 283.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked Yes | 4c | 280$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 39c | 264.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 10c | 242.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 46c | 236.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 35c | 233.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 66c | 232.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 58c | 232$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 61c | 230$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 58c | 225.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed Yes | 22c | 222.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 29c | 220.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…37b3backed No | 38c | 212.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…6d0dbacked No | 73c | 209.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 52c | 204$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 203.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…1e6dbacked Yes | 77c | 201.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…c24bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 22c | 189.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 12c | 187.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 51c | 186.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 58c | 178.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…2a3ebacked No | 29c | 171.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 27c | 169.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 155.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 30c | 146.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…6b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 73c | 136.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked No | 37c | 135.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 51c | 132.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 21c | 123.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…82bfbacked No | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 66c | 116.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 16c | 110.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…ee64backed Yes | 57c | 107.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 27c | 106$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa604…9d2ebacked No | 49c | 102.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…22b5backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 100.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…2686backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…68a2backed No | 56c | 97.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed No | 52c | 96.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…462abacked No | 52c | 96.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 18c | 84.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…521cbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed Yes | 63c | 78.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 54c | 77.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…f8e7backed Yes | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…51b8backed No | 43c | 73.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked Yes | 40c | 62.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…31a7backed No | 65c | 60.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…e91abacked Yes | 74c | 57.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed No | 33c | 44.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 55c | 44.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…a80fbacked Yes | 56c | 40.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 76c | 39.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…8d50backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 40c | 38.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 63c | 34.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.