TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0df0…6979backed No51c5,334$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.193444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…c245backed Yes39c4,339$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes6c3,434$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.01922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No71c3,194$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.2515041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3136…0167backed Yes41c2,465$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc9…f722backed Yes38c2,046$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…570abacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a4…16bdbacked Yes55c1,427$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1809…4eb7backed No55c1,199$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2098…c8aebacked Yes22c1,147$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b6d…3ec5backed Yes55c1,101$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c1,071$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21107.3%8 W · 102 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40d…37d9backed No63c808.59$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.231566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd983…ac11backed Yes25c744.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No71c587$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.891225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff44…b678backed Yes17c564.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c505.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.87663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes3c431.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf953…1ab3backed Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No65c367$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.711233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes39c333.17$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2121240.6%86 W · 126 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No64c330.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9035…ac58backed No60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…b209backed Yes48c312$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3c…e38bbacked No74c310.22$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.363066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb89…4c7cbacked No79c300.43$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe005…14fdbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30d…0470backed No65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes12c276.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3919336.3%70 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0107…bb52backed No74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…6118backed Yes42c236.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked No69c209.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.943548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes25c201.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes11c189.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9f…87acbacked Yes16c180.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f2…b9aabacked No55c180$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…aaecbacked Yes39c179.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes10c175.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2910756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe136…6918backed No66c171$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Yes42c170.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…9b3abacked Yes31c169.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes28c166$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes49c157.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5813424.6%33 W · 101 L-14.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c41…133ebacked Yes10c150.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked No70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6da…3fcebacked Yes31c141.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5e…1773backed Yes40c137.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.983135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe6…c7a1backed No73c137.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe79c…c715backed No67c133.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.854131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94eb…809dbacked Yes31c129.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf857…c562backed Yes34c125.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes34c123.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50c…58e8backed Yes26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes20c119.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5420422.1%45 W · 159 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes44c118.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.148052.5%42 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No75c117.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.945461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x449c…879ebacked Yes36c115.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c7…5340backed No73c106.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3558…dd13backed No62c101.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1e…020abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a4…8767backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…278fbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4c…2811backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc570…5557backed Yes27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21cc…b698backed Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes43c98.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid+15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes13c95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaca…199dbacked Yes23c93.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes59c90.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.42810.7%3 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f4b1backed No17c89.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.682536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.925655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x53de…b486backed Yes15c86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf561…ba3bbacked No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…c9cdbacked Yes28c78.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfc…5995backed No79c77.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes39c77.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3465…3aa1backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes37c74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.683141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes18c70.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4325422%56 W · 198 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Yes25c70.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+78.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f2…8bc3backed No73c68.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e4fdbacked No66c60.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb678…f74dbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…c663backed Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+167.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes31c59.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes17c58.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa047…f4c5backed Yes26c58.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52528%7 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-59%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Yes46c57.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2008…19dabacked No50c56.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ef…5614backed Yes41c54.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…1bf1backed Yes22c52.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x855d…0e60backed Yes38c52.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes25c52.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9116927.8%47 W · 122 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d35…f929backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.