TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d35…f929

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+559.9%+$729.52
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.37
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$31.3
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$29.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.43
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$7.71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$48.29
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$202.9
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.04
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$195.78
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+298%+$546.16
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.96
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$59.35
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+356.4%+$687.2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Navabacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$28.88
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Libema Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Lin Zhubacked Lin Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$13.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$473
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$168.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$94.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.2%+$24.28
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.79
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$431.74
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.2%+$43.31
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+32.4%+$54.52
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56%+$225.24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$208.62
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+89.7%+$752.59
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+85.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.4
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$34.09
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.9%+$28.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+83%+$21.59
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$105.32
Will Opendoor dip to $5.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$315.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.45
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$397.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.