Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28de2f5ffeb53bd1c219c9c800f7054f0a0fe447cd4a90922c220b484df8b077

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,410,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,400,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,410,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 953 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd362…9bc4backed No	75c	20,306$15,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,152.31	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	18,967$2,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,562.08	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	2c	13,650$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.05	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	15c	12,004$1,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,233.13	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f1…06e5backed Yes	8c	11,581$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,709.71	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	18c	10,954$1,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,012.73	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	20c	10,000$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,980.73	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	24c	9,192$2,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,009.81	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd2…32d5backed Yes	10c	8,523$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,680.73	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed No	1c	8,137$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	6c	7,632$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.55	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No	39c	7,431$2,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,894.91	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	22c	6,973$1,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,462.74	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	29c	6,812$1,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,863.98	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	17c	6,247$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,183.76	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	10c	6,000$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,425.79	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked No	5c	6,000$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	8c	5,780$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,339.31	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa060…d60bbacked Yes	77c	5,772$4,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.88	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-38%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	63c	5,558$3,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.56	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	74c	5,513$4,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,102.74	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	14c	5,405$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,643.27	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	55c	5,340$2,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400.99	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	23c	5,190$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,017.54	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	42c	5,166$2,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,004.96	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c89…c8aabacked Yes	77c	5,120$3,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,163.93	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	15c	4,920$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,184.63	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…fe89backed Yes	8c	4,369$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,029.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.92per pick	8cpaid	+1,185%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	73c	4,329$3,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.51	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	0c	4,315$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,288$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876.84	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaa…3feabacked Yes	28c	4,106$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,955.84	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	32c	4,048$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,739.81	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	3,861$2,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,752.91	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbfc…a7c0backed Yes	75c	3,795$2,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.56	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	5c	3,743$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,571.29	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	28c	3,595$1,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,573.55	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	63c	3,524$2,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.83	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	33c	3,501$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.84	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	3c	3,500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	11c	3,461$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,090.97	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked No	14c	3,353$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.76	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	29c	3,335$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.52	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb10c…6d2cbacked Yes	23c	3,292$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,527.18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	18c	3,235$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,663.26	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	49c	3,211$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.22	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	62c	3,150$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.57	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31e8…1c09backed Yes	19c	2,907$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,348.17	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	35c	2,865$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872.21	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	2,854$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,667.5	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	8c	2,809$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,591.91	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	29c	2,786$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.57	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes	11c	2,700$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400.13	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked No	2c	2,700$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5643…5390backed Yes	7c	2,690$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,490.94	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	40c	2,644$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.47	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	31c	2,520$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.4	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	79c	2,458$1,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525.54	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	42c	2,354$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.27	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	21c	2,354$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.25	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	2,337$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	13c	2,270$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,966.48	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	52c	2,175$1,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.73	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	20c	2,153$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725.11	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	2,149$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,936.11	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…e7c9backed Yes	6c	2,141$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.71	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+167.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	8c	2,090$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,926.57	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes	15c	2,074$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,771.91	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…0fa8backed Yes	65c	2,074$1,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.57	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	27c	2,046$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.46	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes	12c	2,023$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.96	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3327…0957backed No	19c	2,022$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.19	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.99	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	11c	1,975$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.73	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12e…8c6cbacked No	77c	1,934$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.17	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	79c	1,922$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.61	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	1,893$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,756.48	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	21c	1,884$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.46	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	15c	1,884$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.31	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7463…befbbacked Yes	63c	1,832$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.21	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…9f72backed Yes	7c	1,831$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710.67	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	9cpaid	+307.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Yes	17c	1,801$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,501.07	86	34.9%30 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	1,700$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,555.5	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ee…6d4cbacked Yes	44c	1,668$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.37	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	24c	1,660$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260.45	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	27c	1,646$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.64	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…7d9abacked Yes	42c	1,636$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.74	240	22.9%55 W · 185 L	-14.2wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed2…be9cbacked Yes	14c	1,619$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed No	76c	1,613$1,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,227.47	259	44.4%115 W · 144 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	18c	1,602$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.62	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	31c	1,589$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.43	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No	76c	1,560$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.08	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	73c	1,539$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.96	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	7c	1,535$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,434.45	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…455cbacked Yes	5c	1,529$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,455.35	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	8cpaid	+131.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	59c	1,523$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.01	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed No	79c	1,497$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.78	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	80c	1,495$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.41	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb03…eb4fbacked Yes	48c	1,470$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.38	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	32c	1,467$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.38	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event