Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeedadeaebd9bf558d89e4ec095a2d81e5d9bcfc1cad12a550d39a6c070fc18d5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,336,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $880,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,336,977 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	53,443$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,074.16	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	5c	30,760$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.18	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	21,855$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.11	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…bfeabacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	5c	19,125$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.97	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	9c	18,472$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.35	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	16,620$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.78	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	1c	12,397$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.19	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	2c	12,000$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.84	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	4c	11,919$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.13	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d3…ce3fbacked Yes	2c	10,933$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.27	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	6c	10,213$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.5	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	2c	8,787$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.88	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	5c	8,022$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.76	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes	1c	7,960$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.64	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+210.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes	8c	7,345$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.27	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	7,281$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	3c	7,107$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.09	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	5c	6,745$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	5c	6,302$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.25	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	5,892$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.57	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	9c	5,690$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39de…a94bbacked Yes	3c	5,530$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	5,503$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.58	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c3…d002backed Yes	10c	5,116$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,744$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.95	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	4,571$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.17	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e3…0c8dbacked Yes	4c	4,456$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	3c	4,441$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.3	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	4,203$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.27	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	4c	4,105$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.5	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	3,938$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.37	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7463…befbbacked Yes	3c	3,871$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,800$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.19	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	9c	3,752$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.88	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	3,748$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.22	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	5c	3,616$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	11c	3,262$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.68	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	5c	3,235$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.19	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…9dafbacked Yes	5c	3,040$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.06	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	3,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes	6c	2,983$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.13	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb638…4fd1backed Yes	3c	2,964$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	7cpaid	+108.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…3a8cbacked Yes	4c	2,899$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	16cpaid	+583.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	7c	2,897$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	4c	2,852$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.28	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f54…e9e9backed Yes	9c	2,744$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	3c	2,704$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.02	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Yes	3c	2,680$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.94	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f1…06e5backed Yes	5c	2,609$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.42	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	2,589$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.46	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.37	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes	3c	2,497$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6a3…df40backed Yes	8c	2,481$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.61	116	24.1%28 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	2,468$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.25	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	2,452$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	5c	2,415$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.77	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	4c	2,348$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes	6c	2,339$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.61	96	9.4%9 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	2,315$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.63	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x010c…6134backed Yes	7c	2,293$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.71	129	14.7%19 W · 110 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea7…0a06backed Yes	3c	2,283$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,270$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.28	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd5…41f2backed Yes	7c	2,258$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	11cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8304…8526backed Yes	4c	2,128$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.61	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	6c	2,075$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.42	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde15…4e85backed Yes	2c	2,072$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	4c	2,070$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	7c	2,029$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.01	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	4c	2,021$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.7	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	6c	2,006$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes	4c	2,003$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.09	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,001$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.58	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1584…2bf3backed Yes	2c	1,970$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes	4c	1,910$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	5c	1,900$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.02	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd284…29c3backed Yes	5c	1,836$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…d71cbacked Yes	3c	1,823$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…5e7fbacked Yes	4c	1,817$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	3c	1,805$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	6c	1,791$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.44	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e8…1c09backed Yes	7c	1,786$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	3c	1,779$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942b…3646backed Yes	7c	1,766$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	7c	1,755$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.41	194	8.8%17 W · 177 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	7c	1,735$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.55	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	7c	1,730$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Yes	2c	1,723$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	8c	1,700$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.05	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9480…a200backed Yes	9c	1,694$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes	8c	1,659$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…554abacked Yes	5c	1,592$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10c…6d2cbacked Yes	5c	1,546$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34bf…26e7backed Yes	5c	1,539$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.79	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf78a…9f65backed Yes	7c	1,534$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.02	133	12.8%17 W · 116 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	1,515$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	3c	1,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	5c	1,500$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes	3c	1,499$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.02	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d9…e3e6backed Yes	10c	1,458$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.06	54	22.2%12 W · 42 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event