Token Launches · resolved market
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb86ecaf246aa3faffad16e915a2af627a4b53d0c245ea1db18be738ce7d6f67b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $962,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f50…63bebacked Yes | 0c | 499,400$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…ba3bbacked Yes | 30c | 31,739$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…1a89backed Yes | 1c | 15,042$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 10c | 10,657$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 2c | 10,655$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 10,220$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.43 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…16ccbacked No | 77c | 8,620$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…f906backed Yes | 22c | 7,946$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…c7a0backed Yes | 6c | 7,412$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…bc43backed Yes | 6c | 7,258$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…020cbacked No | 65c | 7,064$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 0c | 6,638$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…a108backed Yes | 29c | 5,954$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…9ab7backed No | 33c | 5,043$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,974$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6910…c679backed No | 64c | 3,534$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…6e2bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,295$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 66c | 3,124$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 2,928$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…b11dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,759$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 19c | 2,733$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.2 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…97a2backed Yes | 79c | 2,718$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…e4cfbacked No | 69c | 2,620$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…7a8dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,565$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…6badbacked No | 77c | 2,400$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…0a0dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,094$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…bcddbacked Yes | 10c | 2,094$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 1c | 2,043$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 25c | 2,027$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.89 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 3c | 2,021$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 15c | 1,996$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.77 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,979$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…8b29backed No | 71c | 1,972$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…be7dbacked No | 70c | 1,848$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…40cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,782$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked Yes | 7c | 1,659$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…f929backed Yes | 27c | 1,586$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9da6backed Yes | 4c | 1,583$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…dab4backed No | 64c | 1,558$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 77c | 1,410$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…6663backed Yes | 7c | 1,365$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Yes | 51c | 1,338$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 8c | 1,320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…809dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,300$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…2fb4backed Yes | 47c | 1,277$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac6…7371backed Yes | 5c | 1,260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…a3ccbacked Yes | 41c | 1,214$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…58a8backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…9dccbacked No | 77c | 1,168$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd284…468abacked No | 33c | 1,125$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…67b3backed No | 57c | 1,085$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…04a2backed Yes | 56c | 1,066$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 11c | 1,065$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…a358backed Yes | 40c | 1,053$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 52c | 1,044$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed Yes | 39c | 1,032$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…acd1backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 24c | 920.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 905.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…2d05backed Yes | 44c | 903.15$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…6d4ebacked No | 63c | 873.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…1882backed Yes | 46c | 868.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 842.89$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.22 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…b718backed Yes | 6c | 838.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 5c | 807.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e21…48ecbacked Yes | 55c | 800.2$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e25ebacked No | 75c | 800$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 796.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 789.07$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 13c | 775$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…a542backed Yes | 7c | 774.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…2a49backed No | 71c | 758.6$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…7ec2backed No | 16c | 737.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…986cbacked No | 75c | 735.53$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 46c | 725$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…a411backed No | 69c | 724.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25be…b4abbacked No | 69c | 720.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…c245backed No | 57c | 707.55$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 707.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.37 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…e07ebacked Yes | 5c | 699.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 29c | 699.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 60c | 682.82$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.79 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…f61abacked Yes | 16c | 633.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…f36fbacked Yes | 39c | 631.35$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed No | 12c | 621.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 16c | 621.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 59c | 610.53$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6642…75dbbacked Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…7992backed Yes | 48c | 599.39$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 17c | 599.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 17c | 574.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…ceafbacked Yes | 24c | 563.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…ca54backed Yes | 79c | 538.23$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 78c | 533.7$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…cbb6backed Yes | 9c | 529.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…766cbacked No | 77c | 517.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…a2f9backed Yes | 4c | 504.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc969…9309backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.