World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb957e0c6ec337b15a9d93e1ba19a48b410fc1594f022e3bb734e958a4978cdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,862,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,191,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,862,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 28c | 440,000$124,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,975.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 4c | 169,503$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Yes | 5c | 133,698$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked Yes | 5c | 112,968$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 101,304$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.09 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 79c | 95,318$75,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,203.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +992%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 74c | 57,983$42,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,194.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f8…d9f1backed Yes | 9c | 57,311$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Yes | 14c | 56,352$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 52,574$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.4 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…d5b7backed Yes | 12c | 51,626$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 14c | 49,079$6,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984.59 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 3c | 47,499$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.97 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 46,411$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.09 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…9a99backed Yes | 4c | 46,013$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…98d1backed Yes | 5c | 40,811$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes | 21c | 38,055$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 10c | 37,212$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 78c | 36,287$28,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,020.67 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 35,824$26,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,094.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 19c | 34,005$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…0f2dbacked Yes | 12c | 32,687$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 77c | 30,048$23,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.03 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 29,451$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.47 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 7c | 28,416$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.03 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 21c | 28,030$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…de80backed Yes | 8c | 27,421$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 26,629$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.38 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…adf5backed Yes | 11c | 25,165$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 78c | 22,286$17,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 6c | 21,973$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 19c | 21,693$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a7…60fcbacked Yes | 22c | 21,691$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 10c | 21,620$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.78 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…855bbacked Yes | 4c | 21,519$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 10c | 19,200$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…b8fdbacked Yes | 10c | 18,894$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 4c | 18,068$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…d2f3backed Yes | 9c | 17,118$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…1e52backed Yes | 4c | 16,420$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 9c | 15,488$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 76c | 15,285$11,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.11 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 11c | 15,253$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.94 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 19c | 14,442$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 12c | 14,382$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8f6bbacked Yes | 1c | 14,220$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 12c | 13,856$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 78c | 13,627$10,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…3b2fbacked Yes | 7c | 12,670$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…eb11backed Yes | 10c | 12,159$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +573.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…77bdbacked Yes | 8c | 11,145$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 18c | 11,111$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…9370backed Yes | 5c | 11,017$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 3c | 11,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 4c | 10,753$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.56 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…5692backed Yes | 8c | 10,469$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 10c | 10,297$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…4ce4backed Yes | 13c | 10,097$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…a886backed Yes | 2c | 9,930$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…4b91backed Yes | 7c | 9,876$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…dcb8backed Yes | 3c | 9,854$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191c…f0b4backed Yes | 4c | 9,715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…cbfbbacked Yes | 7c | 9,633$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,537$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8c9dbacked Yes | 17c | 9,032$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…3ca3backed Yes | 4c | 8,996$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…ab5bbacked Yes | 13c | 8,951$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…e440backed Yes | 12c | 8,619$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…b64bbacked Yes | 12c | 8,383$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…c328backed Yes | 6c | 8,082$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…1e9ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,061$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 78c | 7,500$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.77 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…507cbacked Yes | 9c | 7,445$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b5b5backed Yes | 9c | 7,432$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 10c | 7,353$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.46 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…afc3backed Yes | 4c | 7,311$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 68c | 7,225$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…1045backed Yes | 7c | 7,220$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 78c | 7,165$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…9a97backed Yes | 5c | 7,159$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…c2a0backed Yes | 14c | 7,006$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…795ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,975$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…c76dbacked Yes | 13c | 6,907$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…1c0dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,734$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 77c | 6,491$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.92 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 6,430$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…9fd6backed Yes | 11c | 6,359$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Yes | 13c | 6,249$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +319.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 73c | 6,237$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…7427backed Yes | 5c | 6,200$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 33c | 6,077$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.53 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 77c | 6,041$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 77c | 6,000$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 6c | 5,750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 79c | 5,699$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.84 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed No | 69c | 5,630$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…e723backed Yes | 7c | 5,605$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 18c | 5,555$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.53 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.