World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c07ed3563f6ee3e1956152e23ba35f4727a6fe472cc7be009b3cf327ac44e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 74c | 15,464$11,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.63 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked No | 56c | 11,383$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 14c | 9,261$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 15c | 8,807$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.46 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…cc47backed Yes | 80c | 7,666$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 14c | 6,875$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 20c | 6,209$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 5,916$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.77 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…e64bbacked No | 18c | 5,264$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed Yes | 74c | 5,216$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.62 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 5,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed No | 16c | 5,040$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 14c | 4,976$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.12 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 17c | 4,513$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 40c | 4,445$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…710abacked No | 10c | 4,277$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 9c | 4,204$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…6603backed Yes | 54c | 4,171$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 15c | 3,928$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 23c | 3,926$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 21c | 3,836$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 3,826$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.14 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 30c | 3,517$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.45 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…1601backed No | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,425$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 46c | 3,370$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 52c | 3,285$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.48 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed No | 20c | 2,916$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…2e2fbacked No | 30c | 2,841$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…c8d0backed No | 18c | 2,705$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed No | 22c | 2,577$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…d6e2backed No | 20c | 2,501$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 13c | 2,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked No | 18c | 2,328$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 16c | 2,300$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 54c | 2,300$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.97 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 17c | 2,054$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.21 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…bad4backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 39c | 1,913$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…3ccdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,883$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…a803backed No | 19c | 1,855$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…41a1backed No | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed No | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 16c | 1,750$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 56c | 1,729$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 57c | 1,710$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…e133backed Yes | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 69c | 1,594$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 57c | 1,556$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 15c | 1,556$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,552$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.81 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,529$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +342%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…5a55backed No | 38c | 1,499$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed No | 17c | 1,483$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5af…8a00backed Yes | 74c | 1,348$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 48c | 1,323$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed No | 20c | 1,259$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed No | 13c | 1,209$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…06c0backed No | 27c | 1,200$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 16c | 1,182$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked No | 2c | 1,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 29c | 1,129$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…6d3cbacked No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 19c | 1,058$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed No | 17c | 1,044$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 21c | 1,030$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…781bbacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 14c | 1,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed No | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 10c | 989.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 12c | 988.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…77b1backed No | 25c | 979.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…0a0dbacked No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 11c | 942.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed No | 13c | 935.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…468dbacked No | 16c | 934.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 15c | 933.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 79c | 917.56$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 31c | 900$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked No | 11c | 884.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 13c | 883.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…a823backed No | 13c | 862.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed No | 10c | 862.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d37…6887backed No | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 29c | 847.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 49c | 843.26$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…e679backed No | 15c | 827.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 799.5$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.03 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 10c | 780$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 40c | 769.81$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 53c | 764.32$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked No | 14c | 721.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.