World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69487ec66303113e2c9125f83de781ba9311656f5f79d811e1153aed5c427fab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,409,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,421,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,409,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 3c | 100,000$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 8c | 38,572$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.04 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 9c | 37,886$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5297…7b99backed Yes | 2c | 32,354$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 1c | 20,510$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 18,397$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.75 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…d4dabacked Yes | 5c | 18,319$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 11c | 18,108$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 5c | 17,987$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 13c | 15,537$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 14,623$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.09 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 8c | 14,500$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.99 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 5c | 14,491$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 12c | 14,255$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,950$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…aaebbacked Yes | 2c | 11,234$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 6c | 10,057$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 13c | 10,000$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.26 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 9,843$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 12c | 8,653$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.34 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 11c | 8,482$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 3c | 8,452$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 15c | 7,719$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,380$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…e288backed Yes | 14c | 7,190$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…8d46backed Yes | 9c | 6,951$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 6c | 6,625$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 4c | 6,140$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 7c | 6,034$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 54c | 5,405$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,318$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.23 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 14c | 5,159$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 4c | 5,084$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 2c | 4,286$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 335 | 54.9%184 W · 151 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 11c | 4,237$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.38 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,031$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…1cbebacked Yes | 4c | 3,932$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,692$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.34 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 75c | 3,546$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 9c | 3,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 3c | 3,184$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 10c | 3,146$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 3,130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,873$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,855$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 7c | 2,855$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…456fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,840$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,719$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Yes | 11c | 2,572$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 12c | 2,393$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.7 | 262 | 40.1%105 W · 157 L | +16.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 15c | 2,380$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 54c | 2,374$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 11c | 2,300$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 2c | 2,239$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 7c | 2,231$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…608bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed Yes | 7c | 2,203$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,087$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 14c | 2,082$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…af0fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 8c | 1,923$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 14c | 1,759$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.61 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 59c | 1,750$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…419fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,730$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,693$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 11c | 1,600$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,598$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,534$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,520$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,488$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…afbbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,433$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…c5f0backed Yes | 8c | 1,400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,397$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 19c | 1,335$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 11c | 1,296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…8f25backed Yes | 12c | 1,284$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 9c | 1,282$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…d4cebacked Yes | 9c | 1,260$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed Yes | 3c | 1,209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…bdf8backed No | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 10c | 1,200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.99 | 187 | 28.3%53 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 53c | 1,200$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…ecb7backed Yes | 2c | 1,188$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…04a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 14c | 1,131$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 23c | 1,104$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…d19abacked Yes | 17c | 1,068$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,035$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…9cb2backed Yes | 2c | 1,013$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,002$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?this page
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 21, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 24, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 25, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No won
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes won
- Starmer out in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.