TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72e9…6743

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.8%+$115.86
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$52.39
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+321.9%+$360.51
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$32.21
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+218.6%+$403.09
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81%+$8.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$11.24
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$12.56
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$13.24
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+234.2%+$24.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$6.75
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$16.94
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.78
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$10.71
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+104.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+186%+$21.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.99
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+356.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$336.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.