TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No55c4,865$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.2527837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c4,207$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.7277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c1,986$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.4323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c1,860$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8893,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c1,061$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.684641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes45c999.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes46c724.73$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.382934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No54c644.95$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09a5…0306backed No54c639.17$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No65c590.19$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4622946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes44c579.07$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5213053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c535.48$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.328661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No54c495.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0513942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No49c492.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes46c414.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c402.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21618967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No55c397.95$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.943339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes49c392.15$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1515458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No58c389.75$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No55c351.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c292.05$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c287$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5052…942bbacked Yes35c269.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes41c264.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes16c249.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.31050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c245.37$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.247949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No56c237.84$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.652965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed No69c199$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.672277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No55c197.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.891580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes49c196.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes38c194.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.311,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No57c190.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.114445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No54c173.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c172.71$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.917753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes45c167.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c158.74$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.431,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes44c150.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1320249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed No55c148.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.761625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No74c146.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes45c139.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.993050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes38c135.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5520535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes38c133.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8836646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…f859backed Yes60c129.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes46c128.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c113.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.281,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed No72c108.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b1…94acbacked Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba6…4248backed No67c98.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No45c96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No55c95.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9623548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes38c93.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes45c91.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.292937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes32c86.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.926346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked No67c85.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Yes45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.258950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c84.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No50c79.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1536051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes44c78.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.144831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked No57c77.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.326100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes60c73.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.779965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes44c71.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes46c69.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c64.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6327058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes43c63.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No54c60.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked No75c58.1$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes43c57.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c56.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c53.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…9891backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes37c49.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No61c49.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe96a…7e95backed No63c49.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes41c48.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes44c48.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.265133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes31c48.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.051050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes33c46.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1558043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4410249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes56c44.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.729460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes38c43.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No65c43.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3512751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.355354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes46c41.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0819560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes46c41.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.083461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes46c41.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.083470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes46c41.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0812254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes46c41.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0814151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes54c40.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9831158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked No55c39.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes41c38.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.