Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71373ff5c36254f7674fd3e41c3c64d361a2aed2eb29f6019b69f1c143d8870a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 78c | 3,941$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,052$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 25c | 976.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 903.53$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 754.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 706.56$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 568$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 16c | 542.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 11c | 417.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 22c | 347.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 77c | 334.01$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 306.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 298.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 20c | 294.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 32c | 286.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 30c | 261.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 234.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 25c | 229.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 24c | 159.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 152.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…dee3backed Yes | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 80c | 124.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 120.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 114.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 101.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…f100backed Yes | 53c | 81.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 24c | 79.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Yes | 31c | 77.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 24c | 75.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 75.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 75.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes | 27c | 66.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 26c | 64.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 33c | 58.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 56.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 54.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 50.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…ef1abacked No | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 47.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 44c | 45.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 45.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd433…e5d5backed Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 43.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…52b7backed Yes | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 51c | 38.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 35.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 37c | 34.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 22.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 69c | 20.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 77c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.