Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810cba852e636ccc7cf14b24d4049e9460e67967ec055294f2c9bb1a4bd39302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 3,626$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 79c | 2,511$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 2,107$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.25 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 50c | 1,951$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.05 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 76c | 1,537$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,263$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 1,007$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.43 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Over | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 651.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 77c | 640.39$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 72c | 355.97$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 308.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 270.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 44c | 219.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 80c | 203.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 77cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 44c | 183.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 29c | 167.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 34c | 162.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 146.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 58c | 135.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 28c | 116.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Under | 80c | 111.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 52c | 93.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 28c | 84.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 28c | 84.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed Over | 40c | 69.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 68.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 56c | 68.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 64.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 37c | 59.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 59.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 58.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 29c | 42.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 38.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 80c | 35.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 58c | 33.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 32.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 47c | 28.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 59c | 23.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…c808backed Under | 47c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed Under | 50c | 20.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 73c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5this page
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.