Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7b11595f4b8fa807e2b5e95c2760bdd59134d0ce5e3d3e647c3c01a9c0b5aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 43c | 814.65$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 70c | 714.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 501.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 59c | 499.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 470.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 351.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 332.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 61c | 202.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 60c | 162.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 119.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 57c | 98.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Over | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 48.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 34.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 40c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 56c | 33.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 42c | 28.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 27.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 55c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 60c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 57c | 22.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5this page
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.