Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ee478c8fe1f820c0b1d0359fc960d6af44db8bfd64d8cff8b24da8f889987f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 1,339$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 912.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 385.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 346.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 16c | 252.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 204.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 154.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 99.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 99.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 35c | 98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Over | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 51c | 65.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 61c | 62.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…0d15backed Over | 41c | 51.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 51.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…efc2backed Over | 41c | 44.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 43.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 54c | 41.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…f0f1backed Under | 61c | 32.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…cd75backed Under | 61c | 30.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Under | 63c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 54c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 62c | 16.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5this page
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.