TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,797$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.9998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over41c1,825$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.7213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under21c1,823$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under56c1,774$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over53c1,620$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.514146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over80c1,136$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over43c965.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c950.73$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9115140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c0…44febacked Under50c887.27$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over45c816$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over39c785.62$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x464a…d107backed Over73c778.04$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.07785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+80.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over43c692.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.868625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Over39c684.26$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+306.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c680.14$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.186435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under49c581.64$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c580.81$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.418129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over42c459.72$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under17c438.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3970%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under57c431.81$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c419.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under27c409.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under41c380.93$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over69c355.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c351.62$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.233641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under15c349.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under59c331.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.036352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under56c313.03$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.32972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over67c299.9$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.066650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under18c298.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under42c291.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over73c270.92$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.371566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c248.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.127254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c247.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.384337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c247.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over55c235.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c224.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.998747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over44c216.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.292166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c206.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under60c205.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.042740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c201.76$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c181.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.452250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over45c181.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.042642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over45c167.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.183946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under58c166.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.56549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c157.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3811752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e95…0fefbacked Over52c149.81$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under50c144.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over77c144.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.862759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under57c140.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under49c139.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over49c109.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.786746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over45c107.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.655846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over53c107.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.662462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5618…f2c0backed Over44c106.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c99.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.547365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under31c95.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under45c92.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Under53c91.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Under56c90.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Under17c89.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under59c80.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.583748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under58c75.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under56c68.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.962416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c67.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.824854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Under59c64.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under56c59.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over39c59.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over46c56.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c52.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over67c49.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4110839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c48.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over67c43.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.531181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+50.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfd7…d1ecbacked Over47c42.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over44c40.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.511957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Under35c39.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under58c37.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over44c35.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.484938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over44c33.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.77850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Under35c32.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under61c31.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over61c30.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over40c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over44c26.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.595754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over45c24.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.318853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72e9…6743backed Under61c22.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under57c19.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid+170.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under58c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…17bdbacked Under62c17.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.