TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6b9…17bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$42.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.07
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26%+$4.38
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$11.99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$11.83
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$5.86
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$9.43
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$20.42
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$6.64
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$12.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.84
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$47.45
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.41
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.28
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$14.92
Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$15.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+137%+$15
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.