TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes77c5,727$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c4,445$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.651,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No62c2,933$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.641,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes29c2,504$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.9611230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c2,426$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.162,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c2,246$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.441,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes66c1,893$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.6610875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes75c1,556$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No32c1,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.993920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf167…28eebacked Yes65c1,225$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes53c1,160$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No37c1,085$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.2323254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes40c1,051$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes53c901.49$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Yes42c809.33$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes44c726.15$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5119963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No25c717.22$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.42,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No30c679.7$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.771,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c549.81$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.128,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No69c500$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.418452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No75c449.81$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.668268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Yes18c405$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked No14c384.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.193225%8 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes46c372.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c353.45$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.781,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes14c329.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No30c322.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.261,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.517034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes76c259.37$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.124562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c242.08$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes35c241.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8516842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No12c237.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes43c224.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5724665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes43c224.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5715768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes75c212.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes66c208.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3427133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No47c195.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.428651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.683855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Yes79c188.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked No26c186.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.31030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c180.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.891,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes76c174.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes29c154.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No28c149.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.997748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes77c140.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.481560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.516262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Yes75c131.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.53964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Yes76c129.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.681540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No28c121.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No58c119.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No41c112.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b6a…0d29backed Yes76c109.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…fb15backed Yes76c100.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No42c98.97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8122145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…32f8backed Yes76c97.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes16c94.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes17c91.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes77c89.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.031560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c78.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3e…f880backed Yes78c75.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No55c74.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.624153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…92d8backed Yes20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes17c70.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes41c69.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes18c69.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.435650%28 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x723d…05d7backed Yes45c66.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes41c65.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.683,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes17c61.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.382544%11 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c59.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c51.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4515158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed No58c50.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.533956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775b…bd8dbacked Yes79c50.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed No22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes80c49.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No37c47.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No25c46.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.213023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes43c46.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed No64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8801…f667backed Yes42c41.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked No35c41.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes49c41.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1319953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Yes77c38.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd320…8c35backed Yes42c34.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…0533backed Yes80c33.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed No67c27.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes42c25.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes61c25.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.463557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2f…4520backed Yes59c24.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.661978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae74…e429backed No80c24.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes80c24.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No59c24.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.946759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes76c24.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.474339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes43c23.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2820665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5af…2b6dbacked Yes43c23.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a4…e258backed Yes77c22.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Yes66c22.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.696855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes47c21.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1463644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.