South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a1d79a277cca92faffae40c63a8cce666ead314be1a7718fc934aefdf53475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 7,886$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 1,995$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.49 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 994.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.78 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 660.97$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 574.27$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 78c | 504.65$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 468.55$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 456.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 17c | 285.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 278.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 25c | 274.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 269.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 44c | 260.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 78c | 240.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 220.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 20c | 219.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 57c | 171.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 147.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 139.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 121.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 119.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 104.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Yes | 78c | 96.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 95.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 66.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…3202backed No | 25c | 45.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…3e7bbacked Yes | 25c | 43.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…17eabacked Yes | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 79c | 41.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 66c | 37.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 71c | 35.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 34.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…13edbacked No | 73c | 33.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 73c | 32.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3c…efc5backed Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 20.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…7a02backed No | 55c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 79c | 18.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 75c | 13.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.