South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b77ae8d3c85845ec95e1069a25b5a6695b27b460627557cf675ccdaa04930c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 58c | 42,740$24,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,639.28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 13,261$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 11,823$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,778.51 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.83 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 8,080$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 4,736$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 42c | 4,343$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.17 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 3,281$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 2,997$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.61 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 42c | 1,706$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 7c | 1,284$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 1,253$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 1,054$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 996.95$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.14 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…67f0backed Yes | 17c | 964.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 23c | 785.03$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 58c | 745.21$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.22 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 33c | 664.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 625.06$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 574$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 75c | 512.04$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 47c | 503.31$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 64c | 431.59$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 396.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 42c | 385.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.37 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 370.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 58c | 336.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 8c | 330.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 306.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 41c | 304$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 303.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 287.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 61c | 262.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 11c | 257.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 61c | 220.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Yes | 59c | 216.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed Yes | 35c | 211.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 60c | 211.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Yes | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed No | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 42c | 178.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 43c | 173.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 170.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 58c | 168.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 60c | 142.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 42c | 141.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 138.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 137.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 136.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 60c | 134.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 54c | 132.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 41c | 131.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 58c | 125.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 42c | 122.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 41c | 121.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 59c | 119.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 16c | 115.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 113.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 18c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 43c | 111.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…e75bbacked Yes | 58c | 111.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 109.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 31c | 108.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 43c | 106.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 58c | 104.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 100.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 97.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 30c | 93.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 13c | 93.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 21c | 91.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…184dbacked No | 42c | 91.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 90.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 87.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 43c | 77.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed No | 41c | 73.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 43c | 67.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 71c | 67.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…ae20backed Yes | 59c | 65.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 44c | 61.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 61.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1e72backed No | 43c | 60.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 60.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.