TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd3e…f880

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,461.44
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,169.93
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$3,013.04
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$4,810.82
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.01
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$9.72
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.44
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96.93
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.45
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$96.44
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$49.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$65.53
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.21
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.79
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$35.53
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.02
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.28
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.71
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$796.77
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.87
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.93
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$232.13
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.75
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.11
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$177.37
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.24
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$27.2
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$29.31
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$40.56
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$52.21
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.21
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$54.67
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.