MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e907065fe78f08481041040ba760abd6b949a8ede4d60d181a2248bdc9665c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Toronto Blue Jays, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 49,211$27,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,584.1 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 27,772$9,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 15,006$9,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 12,084$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 12,052$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.28 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 9,999$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 9,859$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 9,393$7,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 8,861$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…1585backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 8,747$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 8,566$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.61 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 7,521$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.5 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 6,819$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.82 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 6,683$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.55 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 5,980$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 5,534$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.24 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 5,355$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.11 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 5,219$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.46 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…450fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 4,549$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 4,305$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 4,275$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.11 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…17d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 3,443$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 3,387$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 3,242$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.63 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,990$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,938$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 2,797$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.59 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 2,623$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.66 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,570$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 2,570$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.8 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 2,474$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.56 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,446$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 2,071$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.74 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 2,043$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.03 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,996$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,989$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.32 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,711$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.81 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,530$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.89 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,524$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.32 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,463$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,303$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.3 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 1,233$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.46 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 1,146$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.17 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,138$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.02 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…148dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,074$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,049$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,027$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,017$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 929.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 899.96$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.98 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 858.71$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 834.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 780.96$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 765.86$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.64 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 745.09$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 732.4$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 721.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 717.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 711.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 674$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 663.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 645.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 637.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 630.64$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 611.65$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…8c15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 605.1$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 596.44$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 592.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 586.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 583.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…aaa3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 567.87$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 551.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 550.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 548.31$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 542.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 533.2$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 526.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 521.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.61 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 515.32$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 496.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…2917backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 490.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 488.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 480.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 479.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 477.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.16 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 475.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 460.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 445.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.