MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3bba39950c97da41e4db64ba846453f053a355a23afdd9430a8a97f7997adf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 60c | 9,488$5,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 8,335$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 34c | 4,181$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.39 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 40c | 2,951$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.44 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 40c | 2,056$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 2,030$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 1,506$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 40c | 1,317$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,228$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked Over | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 1,040$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 60c | 970.1$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.37 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 40c | 918.15$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.26 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 60c | 672.46$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 60c | 611.95$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 60c | 549.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 549.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 60c | 459.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 60c | 459.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 35c | 455.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 59c | 395.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 65c | 341.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 60c | 307.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 60c | 307.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 286.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Under | 60c | 251.81$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 60c | 247.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 60c | 245.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 60c | 245.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 237.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 19c | 207.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Under | 60c | 203.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 202.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 59c | 198.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 60c | 183.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 39c | 179.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Under | 60c | 175.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 19c | 163.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 60c | 154.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Under | 60c | 154.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 40c | 146.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 61c | 133.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 60c | 129.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 77c | 128.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 41c | 122.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Over | 41c | 117.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 60c | 93.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Under | 60c | 93.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 90.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 58c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 68c | 74.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 60c | 74.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 42c | 72.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Over | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 61c | 70.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Under | 60c | 69.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Under | 60c | 68.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 60c | 63.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 60c | 63.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 60c | 63.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 60c | 60.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…3e81backed Under | 60c | 57.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Under | 60c | 47.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 60c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…55b6backed Over | 36c | 43.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…8ba8backed Under | 60c | 41.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 41c | 39.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 65c | 38.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 60c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 60c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 60c | 32.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 35c | 32.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked Under | 60c | 30.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…70a6backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 60c | 26.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 60c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 60c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 49c | 21.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 66c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Under | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.