TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1107…70a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.13
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.53
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.66
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.31
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.08
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.59
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.1
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.99
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.