TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over48c28,438$13,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,652.2167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c22,095$11,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,440.022,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c14,001$6,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,280.5841842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c7,033$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c6,182$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.042,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c5,023$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.921,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under53c4,080$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.513647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50020756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c2,369$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.6983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c2,114$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c1,758$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c1,616$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.632,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,264$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.510663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under52c962.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.329038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c959.47$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.182,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c900$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over77c814$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2234040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under23c778$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3938551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under52c721.15$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under39c688.55$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.78349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c511$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7527659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c463.52$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under52c462.96$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6818453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c459$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4186049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c451.69$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over46c438.18$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6219353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.677648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20827049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c383$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3333950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c381$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9753849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over71c324$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c317.44$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0731848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15615650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1629160.4%55 W · 36 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629436.2%34 W · 60 L-13.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c284.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over49c268$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.687651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Under32c255$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3811248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over47c240.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6811253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under35c240$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.151,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c233$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1626551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over48c233$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.163452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over47c227.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.453158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under52c221.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3110846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c212.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2134752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0822151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under51c190.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3028…21e7backed Under39c168$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Over48c158.95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.773444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed Under54c156.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c150.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…cf83backed Over49c147.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over49c141.69$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2611050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over48c135.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.426850%34 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over49c128.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.749250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over48c118$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.368350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.959849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Under53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608555.3%47 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.19047.8%43 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.260449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over47c109.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over48c109.38$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8819141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5128542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over47c95.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5858…2c4cbacked Over49c90.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.392737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3912551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3915248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Over48c86.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9117343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x749b…47b3backed Over49c86.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.221855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.610359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.656553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under52c79.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.28552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…fb35backed Over72c79.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1633745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c66.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Over75c66.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+98.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1107…70a6backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over47c61.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over49c54.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.763756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under53c52.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5718941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over49c47.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under52c47.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514551%74 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.