TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x391b…a066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$446.29
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$133.67
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$608.68
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.37
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.99
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.38
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.13
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.11
Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$36.51
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$43.84
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.4
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Sarasota: Garrett Johns vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$172.04
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$141.77
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.16
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.4
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$184.14
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$276.91
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$255.44
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$64.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$81.3
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$19.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.